The Australian home sector outperforming the rest
Pandemic fuelled renovations have only strengthened prices at this end of the market
Pandemic fuelled renovations have only strengthened prices at this end of the market
Luxury houses have experienced a far stronger rate of capital growth than the rest of the market over the past 10 years, according to a historical analysis by Australia’s largest agency network, Ray White. Family houses at the median price point have increased by 78 percent in value over the past decade, while prestige houses priced within the top five percent of homes have doubled in value.
Ray White chief economist Nerida Conisbee said land was a large component of prestige homes’ value and this created stronger rates of capital growth.
“There are only so many properties you can build in our most expensive suburbs, which tend to be located close to beaches, bays and rivers,” Ms Conisbee said. “Anything with even more unique characteristics that are hard to replicate, such as a view or close proximity to the water, are likely to have increased even further.”
Strong renovation activity during and after the pandemic accelerated capital growth.
“Luxury homes have become even more expensive over time as more investment has taken place,” Ms Conisbee said. “And while it is not possible to measure, it is likely a higher proportion of well-located luxury homes have been renovated than the rest of the market and almost certainly true that more has been spent on them.”
Luxury apartments have also grown in value at a much higher rate than average units. Ms Conisbee said this indicated the rising popularity of apartment living among wealthy Australians. Developers are increasingly catering to this trend by producing high-quality lifestyle apartments with large floorplans, many luxurious inclusions and access to world-class amenities and services.
Ms Conisbee said prestige home values also had a higher rate of appreciation because Australia’s rich were getting richer.
“A recent report from Oxfam has found that the wealth of Australia’s richest people has increased at a rate of $1.5 million per hour since 2020,” she said. “A lot of this wealth has been invested in luxury homes around Australia.”
CoreLogic data shows the most expensive suburb in Australia for houses is Bellevue Hill in Sydney, with a median value of $9.73 million. Nearby Point Piper is the most expensive suburb for apartments with a median of $3.32 million. In 2023, Australia’s top five sales occurred in Bellevue Hill, nearby Vaucluse and Hawthorn in Melbourne, ranging from $39 million to $76 million.
In regional Australia, the most expensive suburbs are Sunshine Beach in Queensland with a median house price of $2.38 million, Gerroa in NSW ($2.34 million), Surfers Paradise in Queensland ($2.27 million), Burradoo in NSW ($2.25 million) and Noosa Heads in Queensland ($2.24 million).
During the pandemic, the highest capital growth was seen in the most desirable and expensive regional markets, as wealthy city dwellers bought large lifestyle homes and holiday residences in prime seachange and treechange areas. Last year, this trend reversed, with the greatest capital gains seen in more affordable regional coastal towns, according to a new CoreLogic report released today.
The report shows that 35% of Australia’s regional coastal markets had record-high median values at the end of 2023, despite rising interest rates and cost of living pressures. The study analysed 368 coastal markets located at least 50km from the nearest capital city to reveal the top 20 gainers. All of these suburbs had a median value well below $1 million and Western Australia dominated the list.
CoreLogic Research Director Tim Lawless said: “The performance of those with the largest gains and the highest growth rates are not the glamorous hot spots that rose to prominence during COVID. The past 12 months has seen markets that offer a combination of value and lifestyle attributes, such as commuting distance to a major city, great beaches, and quality housing at a more affordable price point, outperform more well-known areas.
“Suburbs in areas such as Western Australia and more northern regions of Queensland where it’s still possible to make a seachange for less than $1 million were the strongest performers last year. Although home values in these regions are mostly at record highs, they remain relatively affordable for seachangers selling out of more expensive metro markets.”
Source: CoreLogic
A record-breaking $11 million sale at The Centennial Collection has set a new benchmark for luxury apartment living in Bondi Junction.
As interest rates, inflation and market sentiment fluctuate, investors are being urged to focus on data, not panic.
Australia’s housing affordability crisis is being fuelled by chronic undersupply, planning delays and rising development costs, as politicians continue to focus on the wrong solutions.
Australia’s housing crisis will not be solved by first-home buyer incentives or tax changes alone, with leading property figures warning governments must tackle supply constraints if affordability is to improve.
Speaking at the Kanebridge Quarterly Property Leadership Summit in Sydney last week, expert project marketing specialist Sam Elbanna, property investor and fund manager Paul Miron and property consultant Karla McNeice said that a lack of housing supply remained the central issue facing the market.
Elbanna, Director of CPM Realty with more than 30 years’ experience in project sales, argued that successive governments had focused too heavily on stimulating demand rather than addressing the barriers preventing new housing from being delivered.
“The misconception is that politicians think the way to solve the housing crisis is to drive demand,” he said.
“The reality is that’s not the way. This is a supply-side problem, and it needs to be solved on the supply side.”
Drawing on his experience in project sales, Elbanna said policies designed to help first-home buyers often had unintended consequences, pointing to previous grants that ultimately flowed through to higher property prices.
Instead, he said developers were facing increasing red tape, approval delays and rising costs, which were discouraging new housing supply.
“In the absence of stock, demand exceeds supply,” he said.
Miron, a Co-Founder and Fund Manager of Msquared Capital, said the housing debate had become overly focused on tax policy while overlooking broader structural issues.
He argued that affordability challenges stemmed from a combination of factors, including planning constraints, supply shortages, migration levels and interest rates.
“No-one can be 100 per cent certain on the real reason for property prices is going up,” he said.
“The reason why property prices are higher is a combination of interest rates, lack of supply, migration, vacancy rates and maybe taxes play a role.”
Miron was critical of recent federal housing policy changes, warning they could reduce the number of new homes being built and further constrain supply that was even highlighted in the budget.
He also highlighted the importance of the property sector to the broader economy, noting that residential real estate and related industries employed more than one million Australians.
McNeice, who advises developers on sales strategy and market intelligence, said understanding buyers had become increasingly important as affordability pressures intensified.
While affordability remained a major consideration, she said today’s buyers were focused on value rather than simply price.
“People are looking for value for money,” she said.
She said buyers were increasingly evaluating factors such as transport connections, walkability, nearby amenities and flexible living spaces that could accommodate changing family needs.
“What infrastructure is going on? Can I walk to the shops? Can I meet people at the local cafe?” she said.
The panel also discussed the mounting pressures facing developers, with Elbanna arguing that many projects become financially unviable from the moment a site is purchased.
“The viability of a development happens at the moment the site is bought,” he said.
He said rising construction costs, higher interest rates and overly optimistic feasibility assumptions had left some developers exposed as market conditions changed.
While acknowledging the growing number of smaller and first-time developers entering the market, Elbanna said property development required expertise across finance, construction, marketing and legal disciplines.
“It is actually a business that requires a level of expertise,” he said.
Looking ahead, the panel agreed opportunities remained in the market despite current challenges.
Miron said property should continue to be viewed as a long-term investment and cautioned against trying to time short-term market movements.
McNeice said success would increasingly depend on identifying projects that genuinely met changing buyer expectations.
Elbanna said affordable housing remained achievable, but developers needed to deliver more than just homes.
“We can provide affordable housing in this country,” he said.
“But we’ve got to wrap that affordable housing with the things that people want.”
As Australia’s housing affordability debate intensifies, the panellists agreed on one point: without a meaningful increase in housing supply, demand-side measures alone are unlikely to solve the nation’s property challenges.
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