A Record Year Of House Building
Kanebridge News
Share Button

A Record Year Of House Building

Australia is poised to set a new record for detached homebuilding in 2020/21.

By Terry Christodoulou
Thu, May 20, 2021 4:24pmGrey Clock < 1 min

According to economists at the Housing Institute of Australia (HIA), a record number of detached housing starts will occur in the 12 months to September 2021.

More than 146,000 detached houses commencing construction. This is more than 20 per cent higher than the peak of the previous boom in 2018,” stated HIA Economist, Angela Lillicrap.

This forecast is contained in HIA’s economic and industry Outlook Report. The State and National Outlook Reports include updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity for Australia and each of the eight states and territories.

“This large volume of work will ensure that the industry remains very active through until at least the second half of 2022,” added Ms Lillicrap.

Ms Lillicrap cites a number of factors driving the level of activity, namely, the HomeBuilder scheme and low-interest rates, as well as consumer preferences shifting away from high-density areas.

“The extension of HomeBuilder’s commencement deadline will help limit the impact of constraints imposed by land, labour and materials and ensure the elevated volume of detached homes will be sustained for longer.”

However, the increase in building is not something that is shared between the detached and multi-unit sector, the latter expecting a decline in 2020/21.

“The timing and speed of a recovery in overseas migration will have a significant impact on these forecasts.

The return to stable and certain population growth is central to stable economic growth,” concluded Ms Lillicrap.

MOST POPULAR

Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’

Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual

Related Stories
Property
Another rate rise forecast, it’s just a question of how big
By KANEBRIDGE NEWS 06/02/2023
Property
THE SEASIDE APARTMENT THAT THINKS IT’S A HOUSE
By KANEBRIDGE NEWS 03/02/2023
Property
APARTMENT BUILDING APPROVALS ON THE RISE AS SECTOR POWERS INTO 2023
By KANEBRIDGE NEWS 02/02/2023
Another rate rise forecast, it’s just a question of how big

Amid looming rate rises, there are reasons to be cheerful as mortgage holders head into 2023

By KANEBRIDGE NEWS
Mon, Feb 6, 2023 2 min

Mortgage holders should brace themselves for more pain as the Reserve Bank of Australia board prepares to meet tomorrow for the first time this year.

Most economists and the major banks are predicting a rise of 25 basis points will be announced, although the Commonwealth Bank suggests that the RBA may take the unusual step of a 40 basis point rise to bring the interest rate up to a more conventional 3.5 percent. This would allow the RBA to step back from further rate rises for the next few months as it assesses the impact of tightening monetary policy on the economy.

The decision by the RBA board to make consecutive rate rises since April last year is an attempt to wrestle inflation down to a more manageable 3 or 4 percent. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that the inflation rate rose to 7.8 percent over the December quarter, the highest it has been since 1990, reflected in higher prices for food, fuel and construction.

Higher interest rates have coincided with falling home values, which Ray White chief economist Nerida Conisbee says are down 6.1 percent in capital cities since peaking in March 2022. The pain has been greatest in Sydney, where prices have dropped 10.8 percent since February last year. Melbourne and Canberra recorded similar, albeit smaller falls, while capitals like Adelaide, which saw property prices fall 1.8 percent, are less affected.

Although prices may continue to decline, Ms Conisbee (below) said there are signs the pace is slowing and that inflation has peaked.

“December inflation came in at 7.8 per cent with construction, travel and electricity costs being the biggest drivers. It is likely that we are now at peak,” Ms Conisbee said. 

“Many of the drivers of high prices are starting to be resolved. Shipping costs are now down almost 90 per cent from their October 2021 peak (as measured by the Baltic Dry Index), while crude oil prices have almost halved from March 2022. China is back open and international migration has started up again. 

“Even construction costs look like they are close to plateau. Importantly, US inflation has pulled back from its peak of 9.1 per cent in June to 6.5 per cent in December, with many of the drivers of inflation in this country similar to Australia.”

MOST POPULAR

Interior designer Thomas Hamel on where it goes wrong in so many homes.

Clean Air

Technology that seamlessly fixes air quality will become widespread in homes by 2030, real-estate developers say. Will homebuyers care once the pandemic subsides?

0
    Your Cart
    Your cart is emptyReturn to Shop