Perth To Lead National Property Market Recovery
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Perth To Lead National Property Market Recovery

The western capital is on track for impressive growth.

By Terry Christodoulou
Tue, Mar 9, 2021 5:33amGrey Clock < 1 min

Perth’s residential market is on track to record double-digit growth in 2021 for the first time in 11 years.

That’s according to CBRE’s 2021 Australia Real Estate Market Outlook Report which predicts Perth’s house prices to grow between 9% – 12% and unit prices to lift 5%-7% in 2021 which will lead the nation’s property market recovery post-COVID-19

The growth is forecast off the back of positive interstate migration, solid resources outlook and Federal Government incentives such as Homebuilder and additional State support packages that are boosting the construction sector.

“Supply also remains tight [in Perth] with vacancy already sub-1% which is leading to strong rental growth and providing attractive opportunities for investment in 2021,” said CBRE’s Head of Residential Research Craig Godber.

“For investor markets, the supply/demand imbalance will tip towards oversupply until international migration resumes, although, markets with low levels vacancy (e.g. Brisbane and Perth) will recover more quickly than the Sydney and Melbourne, where vacancy remains elevated.”

Sydney is expected to see house price growth of between 7%-10%, while units will experience a 0%-3% rise. Similarly, 7%-10% growth is forecast for Brisbane’s housing market and units are on track to record a 3%-5% value uplift.

The report predicts 5%-7% growth for both Adelaide and Canberra’s housing markets, with the former expecting a 3%-5% rise in unit prices and the latter tracking an uplift of 0%-3% for units.

A longer recovery is expected for Melbourne, with house prices expected to lift 3%-5% in 2021 and no increases for unit values.



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Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.

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Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.

By Robb M. Stewart
Tue, Apr 15, 2025 3 min

OTTAWA–The nascent recovery in Canada’s housing market has become a casualty of the trade dispute with the U.S.

The latest national home-resale data are due out Tuesday, but early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month as many prospective buyers exercised caution.

The recent weakness in home sales has dimmed the previously brighter outlook for the property market coming into 2025, when buyers were encouraged by the Bank of Canada’s aggressive interest-rate cuts.

“The chills the U.S. trade war has sent through participants in the housing market are getting frostier,” said Robert Hogue , assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada.

Hogue said resales are down materially in a number of markets two months running, and home prices in several markets are coming under pressure as inventories rise. And although Canada was spared additional levies when President Trump unveiled so-called reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries earlier this month, no meaningful rebound is likely so long as trade uncertainty lingers, he said.

Home buyers in Toronto, Canada’s most populous city and the country’s financial hub, aren’t turning up for the usual spring pickup in property-market activity.

Sales in the Greater Toronto Area slumped 23.1% in March from a year earlier, as new listings for the region jumped close to 29%, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. That marked the worst month of resales since 1998.

The board’s chief information officer, Jason Mercer , said many potential home buyers were likely taking a wait-and-see approach given the economic worries as well as a pending federal election. “Homebuyers need to feel their employment situation is solid before committing to monthly mortgage payments over the long term,” he said, adding that ownership has become more affordable and prices in the area fell about 3.8% year on year in March.

Uncertainty is also weighing on the housing market in Calgary, the biggest city in oil-rich Alberta. The city’s real-estate board said realtors reported a 19% drop in sales of existing homes from last year, with a similar trend of improving supply and a sharp increase in the average number of days that homes were on the market.

On the West Coast, home sales registered in the metro Vancouver area of British Columbia were the lowest for March since 2019, falling 13.4% on a year earlier and coming in close to 37% below the 10-year seasonal average, while active listings continued to rise.

There are some areas of resilience. The Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers said total sales in the province were up 9% year on year in March. Still, RBC’s Hogue estimated Montreal sales in March were down about 15% from December seasonally adjusted, effectively rolling back the advance since the end of last summer.

The most recent national data for the country, from the Canadian Real Estate Association, showed resales dropped 9.8% month over month in February, when homebuyers may also have been put off by harsh winter storms in parts of the country. That marked the sharpest fall since May 2022 and brought the level of sales to their lowest level since November 2023, snapping signs that activity had been picking up in recent months.

Rishi Sondhi , an economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, in a recent report estimated the country was tracking toward a double-digit quarterly decline in Canadian home sales and a mid-single-digit drop in Canadian average home prices for the first three months of 2025. That is much weaker than a pre-Trump inauguration forecast made in December that projected a loosening in federal mortgage rules, lower interest rates and continued economic growth would fuel a modest gain in sales and prices.

Central-bank officials are set to decide Wednesday on monetary policy, but they have signaled a cautious approach to rates as they balance the prospect of tariffs stoking price pressures against the likelihood that they will dampen demand and weigh on the economy. That could mean the Bank of Canada will pause after seven straight cuts to its policy rate.

Housing is a hot topic for party leaders campaigning ahead of the April 28 election, with both the incumbent Liberal Party and opposition Conservatives proposing tax cuts and incentives to encourage buyers and builders.

The outlook for new homes has also dimmed with the tariff threat. The value of residential-building permits issued in February fell 2.9% from a month prior, adding to a retreat in January that took back some of the surge in intentions in the final month of last year, Statistics Canada data last week showed.

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