Residential real estate tops $10 trillion as Australians bank on bricks and mortar
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Residential real estate tops $10 trillion as Australians bank on bricks and mortar

Property remains the investment of choice for most Australians

By KANEBRIDGE NEWS
Thu, Sep 7, 2023 11:26amGrey Clock 2 min

The old adage ‘safe as houses’ has been given a shot in the arm with news that the value of Australia’s residential real estate has topped $10 trillion.

According to CoreLogic’s Monthly Housing Chart, it’s the first time national home values have hit double figures since June 2022 and places real estate as the top source of wealth for Australians. 

The value of residential real estate exceeded superannuation on $3.5 trillion and listed stocks on $2.9 trillion. The commercial real estate market comes in fourth, worth $1.3 trillion.

In a volatile global economy, it’s clear that most Australians still prefer to invest in bricks and mortar with figures showing 56.3 percent of household wealth is tied up in housing.

While overall housing values in capital cities and regional centres were a mixed bag over the past 12 months to August, with the exception of Hobart, all the capital cities saw consistent growth in values over the past quarter.

Head of research at CoreLogic, Eliza Owen, said a lack of supply, net overseas migration and buyers drawing down savings, equity or profits from previous properties were all contributing factors to the steady increase in values over the past three months.

Whether this level of growth will continue, however, is uncertain.

While there is a growing expectation that the RBA board is done hiking the cash rate, borrowing remains constrained by a relatively high serviceability buffer,” Ms Owen said. “APRA data to June showed the weighted average home loan assessment rate was just below 9 percent, and ABS housing lending data shows mortgage lending has fallen for three of the past four months.

Economic performance is also set to unwind, and while this is good news for the inflation and cash rate trajectory, a rise in unemployment may create a higher degree of risk for mortgage serviceability.”  



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How much income is required to service a mortgage? It depends on where you live

New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal

By Bronwyn Allen
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Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.

Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.

“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.

CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.

Sydney

Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.

Melbourne

Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.

Brisbane

Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.

Adelaide

Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.

Perth

Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.

Hobart

Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.

Darwin

Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.

Canberra

Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.

Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.

 

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