Sydney Inner Suburbs Endure Sharp House Price Drops
The prime part of the market appears most affected.
The prime part of the market appears most affected.
House prices in some of Sydney’s inner suburbs have lost, in some cases, more than $190,000 in the past three months to February as the market slowdown steepens with poor affordability, tighter lending and higher fixed interest rates according to the latest CoreLogic data.
The Sydney suburb of Beaconsfield, nearby the city’s airport, posted a 9.2% drop in median house values to $1.77 million, the largest percentage decline recorded in any house market in the country. Prices in Beaconsfield are now $162,662 lower than three months ago.
Elsewhere, Newtown saw values fall by 6.6% or $120,207 down to $1.821 million, Surry Hills is down 6.1% to $134,054 to $2.197 and Birchgrove lost 6% or $190,581 to 3.176 million.
According to CoreLogic’s head of research, Eliza Owen, the premium end was more volatile compared to the lower end.
“I think affordability constraints, tighter lending conditions and higher fixed rates have likely been enough to cool premium markets, and the sharpness of the fall relates to the volatility in the high end of the market, and the extremely strong run up in price growth,” she said.
Away from Sydney’s market, Melbourne has seen its own market cooling with house prices in Prahran, Cremorne, South Yarra and Windsor tumbling by more than 5% while Toorak dipped 4.7% during the same period.
According to Ms Owen, the affordable end of the market would continue to outperform the upper end as the broader market begins to slow.
“Based on historical performance of property values, I think the next 12 months should see more steady performance in affordable segments of Sydney and Melbourne,” she said.
“More affordable segments tend to have less volatility in growth rates – the highs are not as high, but the lows are not as low,” she said.
Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.
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Early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month.
OTTAWA–The nascent recovery in Canada’s housing market has become a casualty of the trade dispute with the U.S.
The latest national home-resale data are due out Tuesday, but early indications from several big regional real-estate boards suggest March was overall another down month as many prospective buyers exercised caution.
The recent weakness in home sales has dimmed the previously brighter outlook for the property market coming into 2025, when buyers were encouraged by the Bank of Canada’s aggressive interest-rate cuts.
“The chills the U.S. trade war has sent through participants in the housing market are getting frostier,” said Robert Hogue , assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada.
Hogue said resales are down materially in a number of markets two months running, and home prices in several markets are coming under pressure as inventories rise. And although Canada was spared additional levies when President Trump unveiled so-called reciprocal tariffs on dozens of countries earlier this month, no meaningful rebound is likely so long as trade uncertainty lingers, he said.
Home buyers in Toronto, Canada’s most populous city and the country’s financial hub, aren’t turning up for the usual spring pickup in property-market activity.
Sales in the Greater Toronto Area slumped 23.1% in March from a year earlier, as new listings for the region jumped close to 29%, according to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board. That marked the worst month of resales since 1998.
The board’s chief information officer, Jason Mercer , said many potential home buyers were likely taking a wait-and-see approach given the economic worries as well as a pending federal election. “Homebuyers need to feel their employment situation is solid before committing to monthly mortgage payments over the long term,” he said, adding that ownership has become more affordable and prices in the area fell about 3.8% year on year in March.
Uncertainty is also weighing on the housing market in Calgary, the biggest city in oil-rich Alberta. The city’s real-estate board said realtors reported a 19% drop in sales of existing homes from last year, with a similar trend of improving supply and a sharp increase in the average number of days that homes were on the market.
On the West Coast, home sales registered in the metro Vancouver area of British Columbia were the lowest for March since 2019, falling 13.4% on a year earlier and coming in close to 37% below the 10-year seasonal average, while active listings continued to rise.
There are some areas of resilience. The Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers said total sales in the province were up 9% year on year in March. Still, RBC’s Hogue estimated Montreal sales in March were down about 15% from December seasonally adjusted, effectively rolling back the advance since the end of last summer.
The most recent national data for the country, from the Canadian Real Estate Association, showed resales dropped 9.8% month over month in February, when homebuyers may also have been put off by harsh winter storms in parts of the country. That marked the sharpest fall since May 2022 and brought the level of sales to their lowest level since November 2023, snapping signs that activity had been picking up in recent months.
Rishi Sondhi , an economist at Toronto-Dominion Bank, in a recent report estimated the country was tracking toward a double-digit quarterly decline in Canadian home sales and a mid-single-digit drop in Canadian average home prices for the first three months of 2025. That is much weaker than a pre-Trump inauguration forecast made in December that projected a loosening in federal mortgage rules, lower interest rates and continued economic growth would fuel a modest gain in sales and prices.
Central-bank officials are set to decide Wednesday on monetary policy, but they have signaled a cautious approach to rates as they balance the prospect of tariffs stoking price pressures against the likelihood that they will dampen demand and weigh on the economy. That could mean the Bank of Canada will pause after seven straight cuts to its policy rate.
Housing is a hot topic for party leaders campaigning ahead of the April 28 election, with both the incumbent Liberal Party and opposition Conservatives proposing tax cuts and incentives to encourage buyers and builders.
The outlook for new homes has also dimmed with the tariff threat. The value of residential-building permits issued in February fell 2.9% from a month prior, adding to a retreat in January that took back some of the surge in intentions in the final month of last year, Statistics Canada data last week showed.
The seller, Steven ‘Bo’ Belmont, is asking $39 million for the under-construction project.
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