Vendors Struggle To Sell Old Listings
The number of Sydney homes stagnant on the market rose significantly.
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The number of old listings has risen sharply in Sydney and Melbourne in May as vendors struggle to find a buyer within a reasonable timeframe amid falling demand according to data from SQM Research.
The number of Sydney homes on the market for longer than six months rose by 9.6% to 4032 in May. In Melbourne, it’s a similar story up 6.3% to 6378. This build-up of older listings will continue to heap downward pressure on prices as the market moves into a correction.
Staggeringly, across the country, there are 49,813 homes on the market for at least 180 days.
According to SQM research managing director Louis Christopher, this number is only going to increase with further rate rises predicted and fewer buyers coming on to the market.
“There are fewer buyers compared to available stock, which means older stock is piling up, and it’s taking longer to sell property.”
Sydney inner west saw the number of homes on the market for at least six months jump by 18.6%. In the eastern suburb, it climbed by 11.4% and on the northern beaches by 24%.
Old stock in the inner east Melbourne rose by 5%, and 11% in the north-west of Melbourne.
Outside of the major east coast markets of Sydney and Melbourne, listings of over 180 days have also increased in Perth, up 3.4% to 4032, while in Canberra they rose 4.8% to 219, and in Hobart by 13.3% to 213.
There was a small lift in older listings in Adelaide and Darwin while Brisbane bucked the trend dropping 5.5%.
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New research suggests spending 40 percent of household income on loan repayments is the new normal
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Requiring more than 30 percent of household income to service a home loan has long been considered the benchmark for ‘housing stress’. Yet research shows it is becoming the new normal. The 2024 ANZ CoreLogic Housing Affordability Report reveals home loans on only 17 percent of homes are ‘serviceable’ if serviceability is limited to 30 percent of the median national household income.
Based on 40 percent of household income, just 37 percent of properties would be serviceable on a mortgage covering 80 percent of the purchase price. ANZ CoreLogic suggest 40 may be the new 30 when it comes to home loan serviceability. “Looking ahead, there is little prospect for the mortgage serviceability indicator to move back into the 30 percent range any time soon,” says the report.
“This is because the cash rate is not expected to be cut until late 2024, and home values have continued to rise, even amid relatively high interest rate settings.” ANZ CoreLogic estimate that home loan rates would have to fall to about 4.7 percent to bring serviceability under 40 percent.
CoreLogic has broken down the actual household income required to service a home loan on a 6.27 percent interest rate for an 80 percent loan based on current median house and unit values in each capital city. As expected, affordability is worst in the most expensive property market, Sydney.
Sydney
Sydney’s median house price is $1,414,229 and the median unit price is $839,344.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $211,456 to afford a home loan for a house and $125,499 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $120,554.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s median house price is $935,049 and the median apartment price is $612,906.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $139,809 to afford a home loan for a house and $91,642 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $110,324.
Brisbane
Brisbane’s median house price is $909,988 and the median unit price is $587,793.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $136,062 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,887 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $107,243.
Adelaide
Adelaide’s median house price is $785,971 and the median apartment price is $504,799.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $117,519 to afford a home loan for a house and $75,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,806.
Perth
Perth’s median house price is $735,276 and the median unit price is $495,360.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $109,939 to afford a home loan for a house and $74,066 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $108,057.
Hobart
Hobart’s median house price is $692,951 and the median apartment price is $522,258.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $103,610 to afford a home loan for a house and $78,088 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $89,515.
Darwin
Darwin’s median house price is $573,498 and the median unit price is $367,716.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $85,750 to afford a home loan for a house and $54,981 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $126,193.
Canberra
Canberra’s median house price is $964,136 and the median apartment price is $585,057.
Based on 40 percent serviceability, households need a total income of $144,158 to afford a home loan for a house and $87,478 for a unit. The city’s actual median household income is $137,760.
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This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan
