Wage Growth Halts Rate Rise
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Wage Growth Halts Rate Rise

RBA governor Dr Philip Lowe speaks out on ascendent property markets and future plans.

By Terry Christodoulou
Wed, Mar 10, 2021 12:25amGrey Clock < 1 min

Reserve Bank of Australia governor, Dr Philip Lowe, has dented any suggestion of a pending rise in official interest rates, citing slow levels of wages growth, inflation and current unemployment figures as factors that will see maintained rates through until to at least 2024.

His comments come as the Australian housing market engages unprecedented levels of growth — with many tipping a necessary increase in rates given the stronger than anticipated march out of the pandemic.

Speaking at the Australian Financial Review’s Sydney business summit, Dr Lowe said that despite the strong economy, interest rates – which the bank cut to a record low of 0.1 per cent in 2020 – would only start rising when wages were growing fast enough to lift inflation.

“The point I want to emphasise is that for inflation to be sustainably within the 2-3% target range, wages growth needs to be materially higher than it is currently,”  Dr Lowe said.

Wages growth currently sits at a record low of 1.4 per cent.

“The evidence strongly suggests that this will not occur quickly and that it will require a tight labour market to be sustained for some time. Predicting how long it will take is inherently difficult, so there is room for different views. But our judgment is that we are unlikely to see wages growth consistent with the inflation target before 2024. This is the basis for our assessment that the cash rate is very likely to remain at its current level until 2024.”



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London’s Luxury Property Market Turns a Corner

After more than a year, prices have finally levelled out in prime central London, while outer London saw a small uptick in high-end prices from the previous quarter

By CASEY FARMER
Fri, Mar 29, 2024 2 min

The first quarter of the year brought some long-awaited signs of recovery in London’s luxury housing market, offering the first positive quarterly price growth since September 2022, according to a report from Savills on Wednesday.

After six consecutive quarterly price falls, luxury home prices in central London levelled out in the first three months of the year, with a 0.1% quarterly uptick in prices. The £3 million to £5 million (US$3.79 million to US$6.32 million) market saw a slightly larger increase of 0.3%.

Outer London’s luxury market saw greater quarterly price growth, with home prices up 0.8%, as some stability returned to mortgage costs and lured more buyers back to the market, according to the report.

All of this is evidence that the market is “in early stages of recovery,” according to Lucian Cook, head of residential research at Savills.

“The outlook for the housing market has certainly improved, partly because the mortgage market has recovered more quickly than expected,” Cook said in the report. “With the first rate cut rapidly coming into view and recessionary risks easing, greater stability has returned to the cost of mortgage debt, which has positively impacted domestic prime markets, where many buyers rely on borrowing, most notably in leafy outer prime South and West London, as well as the commuter belt.”

Outside of London, prices across the U.K. saw no quarterly growth heading into the beginning of the spring market, which is expected to bring higher levels of buyer activity in many regions.

Suburban regions saw prices dip just 0.1%, while urban areas—like Edinburgh and Glasgow in Scotland, and Bath and Oxford in England—saw prices increase by 0.6%.

Cook said regional buyers are more likely to be concerned about market uncertainty than London buyers in the lead up to the general election.

“As a result, buyers are still expected to be less committed until the dust has settled,” he said.

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11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

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