The Australian property investment market bounces back
More property investment means more supply for tenants amid a rental housing crisis
2 min
Investors are returning to the property market after an exodus in early 2023 and a significant decline in investor buying between 2015 and 2020. The lack of investor activity has been seen as a contributor to today’s massive undersupply of rental homes. That five-year decline began after the banks applied higher interest rates to investor loans in a bid to slow investor loan growth, as requested by the prudential regulator.
However, the latest lending data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows a 20.4 percent increase in the value of investor loans over the past year, indicating more investors are buying property. This is welcome news for renters across the country, who are finding it exceedingly difficult to secure affordable accommodation amid rapidly rising rents and record-low vacancy rates of about 1 percent.
Last year’s surprisingly strong price growth across most of Australia’s markets has likely inspired more investors to look at property again. Capital growth is typically the primary goal of new investors, with yield seen as simply a way to help pay off the mortgage over time. However, yield becomes more important when interest rates are rising, and a 40 percent increase in rents since the pandemic means many city and regional markets are now delivering healthy yields above 5 percent.
Investors are also increasingly looking beyond their own neighbourhoods for more attractive property investment opportunities, typically in cheaper markets. Research by MCG Quantity Surveyors shows the average distance between landlords’ homes and their investments was 1,502km in the year to November 2023. Prior to the pandemic, that average distance was just 294km.
Western Australia provides an example of this trend, and is one of the hottest markets among out-of-area investors today. This follows a 15.6 percent lift in Perth’s median house price to $691,100 in 2023 – the highest capital gain of any capital city – along with an 8.2 percent increase in regional house values to a median $477,690 – the third highest gain among Australia’s regions, according to CoreLogic figures.
“WA and Perth have caught the eye of Eastern States investors,” said Joe White, president of the Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (REIWA). “They’re drawn by the value our market offers. Despite increases over the past few years, our property prices are much more affordable than the east coast and we’ve had significant rent price growth. This means properties have the potential for very good yields.”
Total returns including capital growth and rent on investment houses reached a staggering 20.8 percent in Perth last year, and 14.5 percent in regional areas, according to CoreLogic data.
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New research shows a widening divide across Australia and New Zealand’s property markets, with investors increasingly forced to look beyond traditional strongholds to find real returns.
3 min
By any traditional measure, Australia’s property market should be moving in sync. Instead, it is fragmenting.
New research from MaxCap, led by Head of Research Bruce Wan, paints a picture of a market no longer defined by national trends, but by sharp regional divergence, where performance gaps between cities are widening, and the smartest capital is moving accordingly.
At the top end of the ladder, Perth and southeast Queensland are surging ahead. At the other, Melbourne and Auckland are only just beginning to recover from recent downturns. And sitting squarely in the middle is Sydney, steady but constrained.
The takeaway is clear: the era of relying on headline markets is over.
The rise of the unexpected leaders
Brisbane and the broader southeast Queensland region have emerged as standout performers, driven by population growth, infrastructure investment and a sustained undersupply of housing.
According to the report, housing values in the region have continued to accelerate, supported by long-term tailwinds including the 2032 Olympic Games and a decade of relatively subdued price growth prior.
Perth is telling a similar story, albeit for different reasons. Once heavily tied to commodity cycles, the Western Australian capital is now benefiting from a broader base of economic drivers, including defence spending and sustained resource sector strength.
The result is a housing market that remains one of the strongest in the country, even as price growth begins to ease from its peak.
Sydney holds, but doesn’t lead
For Sydney, the story is more nuanced.
While prices continue to climb and the city remains Australia’s most expensive market, affordability constraints are clearly limiting its pace. Residential growth, while positive, lags behind smaller capitals, and commercial sectors are being held back by softer demand in key industries.
There are, however, signs of momentum building. New infrastructure, including the western Sydney Airport and expanded rail networks, is expected to unlock development opportunities and support future growth, particularly in emerging precincts.
Still, the report positions Sydney firmly in the “middle of the pack”, no longer the automatic frontrunner for investors.
Melbourne’s slow reset
Melbourne, once a consistent performer, has spent recent years recalibrating.
Extended lockdowns, combined with new state property taxes, have weighed heavily on investor sentiment and pricing, particularly across the commercial office sector. Residential values have also underperformed, though for different structural reasons.
Now, there are early signs of recovery.
Improved affordability, population growth and a stabilising economic backdrop are beginning to draw buyers back into the market, with both residential and commercial sectors showing tentative signs of improvement.
Auckland’s turning point
Across the Tasman, Auckland has faced its own challenges, particularly from an outflow of younger workers to Australia, which has dampened demand and stalled price growth.
But here too, the tide appears to be shifting.
A return to positive migration, lower interest rates and policy changes — including the easing of foreign buyer restrictions — are expected to support a gradual recovery, alongside renewed interest from offshore capital.
A market that rewards precision
If there is one unifying theme, it is this: broad-brush strategies no longer work.
MaxCap’s research highlights that the most compelling opportunities are increasingly found outside the traditional powerhouses of Sydney and Melbourne, requiring investors to take a more targeted, locally informed approach.
“Given these persistent performance gaps, there is plentiful scope for alpha returns, just by picking the right locations and market segments,” the report notes.
In other words, success in this market is no longer about being in property — it is about being in the right property, in the right place, at the right time.
And increasingly, that place may not be where you expect.
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