ASX uranium stocks go gangbusters as the world turns to nuclear energy
Australia’s three biggest uranium shares have hit 10-year highs in 2023
Australia’s three biggest uranium shares have hit 10-year highs in 2023
Uranium is set to play a major role in the world’s green energy transition, with many nations proactively developing their nuclear energy capacity to reduce their reliance on fossil fuels for power generation in the future.
Whilst most nations are pursuing renewables and green energy storage systems as their definitive long-term solution for climate change, it is likely not possible to develop enough wind and solar technology and infrastructure quickly enough to replace fossil fuels in time to meet 2050 net-zero emissions targets.
On top of this, volatile oil and gas prices amid supply uncertainty have enhanced the interest in nuclear power. The pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict created significant oil supply disruptions, OPEC has recently placed limits on production, and the Israel-Gaza war may make the situation even worse. AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver says the global oil price could rise to US$150 per barrel – up from the low $80 range today – if Israel and Iran commence a military engagement.
Against this backdrop, nations are rushing to embrace nuclear technology to act, at least, as an initial first step on the road to a green energy future. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), there are approximately 440 reactors in operation across 32 countries today, with 56 new ones under construction. Monash Investors estimates there are another 100 reactors in the advanced planning stages across 17 countries. China alone is expected to build 32 new reactors by the end of the 2020s.
Surging demand for uranium has been met with low existing inventories. This has created a perfect storm for the global uranium price, which is now at a 12-year high of US$73 per pound. The rising uranium price has made it economical for many mining companies to restart dormant mines and develop new ones in the face of new and likely ongoing long-term demand. “We see prices rising year-on-year for the next 10-20 years or till the world finds another source for large scale uninterruptible base load power with a low carbon footprint,” SP Angel mining analyst John Meyer told Reuters recently.
All of this has led to skyrocketing share prices for ASX uranium stocks this year.
In Australia, nuclear energy is banned. The Federal Opposition has been arguing to include nuclear energy in the mix for Australia’s own green energy transition. The Albanese Government disagrees, advocating for continuing renewables development instead. Federal Energy Minister Chris Bowen says developing local nuclear energy production is too expensive. He says recent modelling shows it would cost $387 billion to replace Australia’s coal-fired power plants with small modular reactors.
The three biggest pure-play uranium shares on the ASX have outperformed the broader market exponentially in 2023. While the S&P/ASX 200 Index has lost 2.5% of its value, Australia’s biggest listed pure-play uranium miners have exploded with share price growth of 40% to 115% between them.
Paladin Energy is the biggest pure-play uranium stock listed on the ASX, with a market capitalisation of $2.81 billion. The Paladin Energy share price closed on Monday at 95 cents, up 43% in 2023 so far. The stock reached a decade-high price of $1.15 in September. According to a survey of analysts on CommSec, five out of seven analysts covering Paladin Energy shares rate them a strong buy.
Boss Energy has a market capitalisation of $1.59 billion. The Boss Energy share price closed on Monday at $4.37, up 115% in 2023. It hit an all-time record price of $4.98 in September. Three out of six analysts covering Boss Energy shares rate them a hold.
Deep Yellow has a market capitalisation of $963 million. The Deep Yellow share price closed yesterday at $1.27, up 85% in 2023. The stock cracked a 10-year high of $1.41 per share in October. Three out of three analysts covering Deep Yellow shares rate them a strong buy.
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At least for people who carry the APOE4 genetic variant, a juicy steak could keep the brain healthy.
Must even steak be politicised? The American Heart Association recently recommended eating more “plant-based” protein in a move to counter the Health and Human Services Department’s new guidelines calling for more red meat.
Few would argue that eating a Big Mac a day is good for you.
On the other hand, growing evidence, including a study last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association, suggests that eating more meat—particularly unprocessed red meat—can reduce the risk of Alzheimer’s in the quarter or so of people with a particular genetic predisposition.
The APOE4 gene variant is one of the biggest risk factors for Alzheimer’s.
You inherit one copy of the APOE gene from each parent. The most common variant is APOE3; the least is APOE2.
The latter carries a lower risk of Alzheimer’s, while the former is neutral. A quarter of people carry one copy of the APOE4 variant, and about 2% carry two.
APOE4 is more common among people with Northern European and African ancestry. In Europe the variant increases with latitude, and is present in as many as 27% of people in northern countries versus 4% in southern ones. God smiled on the Italians and Greeks.
For unknown reasons, the APOE4 variant increases the risk of Alzheimer’s far more for women than men.
Women’s risk multiplies roughly fourfold if they have one copy and tenfold if they have two. Men with a single copy show little if any higher risk, while those with two face four times the risk.
What makes APOE4 so pernicious? Scientists don’t know exactly, but the variant is also associated with higher cholesterol levels—even among thin people who eat healthily.
Scientists have found that cholesterol builds up in brain cells of APOE4 carriers, which can disrupt communications between neurons and generate amyloid plaque, an Alzheimer’s hallmark.
The Heart Association’s recommendation to eat less red meat may be sound advice for people with high cholesterol caused by indulgent diets.
But a diet high in red meat may be better for the brains of APOE4 carriers.
In the JAMA study, researchers at Sweden’s Karolinska Institute examined how diet, particularly meat consumption, affects dementia risk among seniors with the different APOE variants.
Higher consumption of meat, especially unprocessed red meat, was associated with significantly lower dementia risk for APOE4 carriers.
APOE4 carriers who consumed the most meat—the equivalent of 4.5 ounces a day—were no more likely to develop dementia than noncarriers. (
The study controlled for other variables that are known to affect Alzheimer’s risk including sex, age, physical activity, smoking, alcohol consumption and education.)
APOE4 carriers who ate the most unprocessed meat were at significantly lower risk of dying over the study’s 15-year period and had lower cholesterol than carriers who ate less. Go figure. Noncarriers, however, didn’tenjoy similar benefits from eating more red meat.
The study’s findings are consistent with two large U.K. studies.
One found that each additional 50 grams of red meat (equivalent to half a hamburger patty) that an APOE4 carrier consumed each day was associated with a 36% reduced risk of dementia.
The other found that older women who carried the APOE4 variant and consumed at least one serving a day of unprocessed red meat had a cognitive advantage over carriers who ate less than half a serving, and that this advantage was of roughly equal magnitude to the cognitive disadvantage observed among APOE4 carriers in general.
In all three studies, eating more red meat appeared to negate the increased genetic risk of APOE4.
Perhaps one reason men with the variant are at lower Alzheimer’s risk than women is that men eat more red meat.
These findings might cause chagrin to women who rag their husbands about ordering the rib-eye instead of the heart-healthy salmon.
But remember, the cognitive benefits of eating more red meat appear isolated to APOE4 carriers.
Nutrition is complicated, and categorical recommendations—other than perhaps to avoid nutritionally devoid foods—would best be avoided by governments and health bodies.
Readers can order an at-home test from any number of companies to screen for the APOE4 variant.
The Swedish researchers hypothesize that APOE4 carriers may be evolutionarily adapted to carnivorous diets, since the variant is believed to have emerged between one million and six million years ago during a “hypercarnivorous” period in human history.
The other two APOE variants originated more recently, during eras when humans ate more plants.
APOE4 carriers may absorb more nutrients from meat than plants, the researchers surmise. Vitamin B12—low levels have been associated with cognitive decline—isn’t naturally present in plant-based foods but is abundant in red meat.
Foods high in phytates (such as grains and beans) can interfere with absorption of zinc and iron (also high in red meat), which naturally declines with age. So maybe don’t chuck your steak yet.
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