Australian property buyers the winners in a spring market
A new report has revealed properties are taking longer to sell with more stock coming onto the market
2 min
Australian property buyers have been the big winners this spring, according to new data released this week, with more stock available and a drop in sales volumes.
CoreLogic’s Housing Chart Pack for December showed sales were down 4 percent on the historic average while total listings volumes nationally increased 10.6 percent during spring.
Homes also took longer to sell through spring. The national median number of days on market in the three months to November was 32 days, up from 27 days for the same period last year.
CoreLogic economist Kaytin Ezzy said the trends combined to create a more favourable market for buyers rather than sellers.
“Between higher stock levels and lower-than-usual sales volumes, the data for the end of November shows that buyers were the winners this spring (just), and sellers generally saw softer market conditions over the past few months,” she said. “The increase in selling times has coincided with higher stock levels, and softer sales volumes year-on-year.
“The median time on market increased by four days year-on-year across both the combined capital cities and regional market.”
The best performing areas for home value growth continued to be in the 25 percent most affordable markets of Adelaide, up 4.7 percent, Perth (4.5 percent) and Brisbane. At the other end, the top quarter of homes in Darwin (-2.7 percent), Melbourne (-1.4 percent) and Sydney (-1.6 percent) saw the greatest falls over the same period.
In good news for renters — and less welcome for existing investors — the report found rental growth also slowed this year. Rents increased by 5.3 percent over the year to November, the slowest increase since April 2021. At the same time, the RBA reported the average household size has risen across Australia’s capital cities, suggesting more renters are moving into shared housing to offset cost of living concerns.
“The gradual slowdown in net overseas migration could also be contributing to the stabilising in rent values, and as the backlog of Homebuilder work moves into completion, this could also take some demand out of the rental market,” Ms Ezzy said.
“Rental growth may rebound a little through the seasonally strong first quarter of 2025, but beyond any seasonality, it looks increasingly like the rental boom is over.”
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Australia’s housing affordability crisis is being fuelled by chronic undersupply, planning delays and rising development costs, as politicians continue to focus on the wrong solutions.
3 min
Australia’s housing crisis will not be solved by first-home buyer incentives or tax changes alone, with leading property figures warning governments must tackle supply constraints if affordability is to improve.
Speaking at the Kanebridge Quarterly Property Leadership Summit in Sydney last week, expert project marketing specialist Sam Elbanna, property investor and fund manager Paul Miron and property consultant Karla McNeice said that a lack of housing supply remained the central issue facing the market.
Elbanna, Director of CPM Realty with more than 30 years’ experience in project sales, argued that successive governments had focused too heavily on stimulating demand rather than addressing the barriers preventing new housing from being delivered.
“The misconception is that politicians think the way to solve the housing crisis is to drive demand,” he said.
“The reality is that’s not the way. This is a supply-side problem, and it needs to be solved on the supply side.”
Drawing on his experience in project sales, Elbanna said policies designed to help first-home buyers often had unintended consequences, pointing to previous grants that ultimately flowed through to higher property prices.
Instead, he said developers were facing increasing red tape, approval delays and rising costs, which were discouraging new housing supply.
“In the absence of stock, demand exceeds supply,” he said.
Miron, a Co-Founder and Fund Manager of Msquared Capital, said the housing debate had become overly focused on tax policy while overlooking broader structural issues.
He argued that affordability challenges stemmed from a combination of factors, including planning constraints, supply shortages, migration levels and interest rates.
“No-one can be 100 per cent certain on the real reason for property prices is going up,” he said.
“The reason why property prices are higher is a combination of interest rates, lack of supply, migration, vacancy rates and maybe taxes play a role.”
Miron was critical of recent federal housing policy changes, warning they could reduce the number of new homes being built and further constrain supply that was even highlighted in the budget.
He also highlighted the importance of the property sector to the broader economy, noting that residential real estate and related industries employed more than one million Australians.
McNeice, who advises developers on sales strategy and market intelligence, said understanding buyers had become increasingly important as affordability pressures intensified.
While affordability remained a major consideration, she said today’s buyers were focused on value rather than simply price.
“People are looking for value for money,” she said.
She said buyers were increasingly evaluating factors such as transport connections, walkability, nearby amenities and flexible living spaces that could accommodate changing family needs.
“What infrastructure is going on? Can I walk to the shops? Can I meet people at the local cafe?” she said.
The panel also discussed the mounting pressures facing developers, with Elbanna arguing that many projects become financially unviable from the moment a site is purchased.
“The viability of a development happens at the moment the site is bought,” he said.
He said rising construction costs, higher interest rates and overly optimistic feasibility assumptions had left some developers exposed as market conditions changed.
While acknowledging the growing number of smaller and first-time developers entering the market, Elbanna said property development required expertise across finance, construction, marketing and legal disciplines.
“It is actually a business that requires a level of expertise,” he said.
Looking ahead, the panel agreed opportunities remained in the market despite current challenges.
Miron said property should continue to be viewed as a long-term investment and cautioned against trying to time short-term market movements.
McNeice said success would increasingly depend on identifying projects that genuinely met changing buyer expectations.
Elbanna said affordable housing remained achievable, but developers needed to deliver more than just homes.
“We can provide affordable housing in this country,” he said.
“But we’ve got to wrap that affordable housing with the things that people want.”
As Australia’s housing affordability debate intensifies, the panellists agreed on one point: without a meaningful increase in housing supply, demand-side measures alone are unlikely to solve the nation’s property challenges.
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