A variable Australian property market holds firm in 2024 as west coast investors cash in
The old adage ‘as safe as houses’ still holds true for Australian property owners
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If there is one word to describe the Australian property market this year, it’s resilience.
That’s according to data released by CoreLogic today as part of its Best of the Best report.
Despite the cash rate remaining unmoved at 4.35 percent in 2024, home sales went up by 8 percent compared with last year and increased 6 percent on the previous five-year average. In signs that property continues to be a sound choice for investors, home values have risen 5.5 percent over the past 12 months, with the overall value of Australian homes now in excess of $11 trillion.
Head of research at CoreLogic, Eliza Owen, noted that there was significant ‘variability’ across markets, with Melbourne recording a fall of -2.3 percent in annual values while Perth saw home values rise by 21 percent over the same period. It was a similar story in regional areas, with regional Victoria experiencing falls of -2.7 percent and regional Western Australia witnessing a 15.5 percent increase.
Indeed, the Geraldton suburb of Beachlands in WA took out the top spot for the greatest increase in house values nationally, with a rise of 38.4 percent. In the unit market, Dolphins Heads in the Mackay region of Queensland experienced the most growth this year, with an increase in values of 52.8 percent. In capital city markets, Perth took out all 10 spots for strongest growth in house values.
While the greatest gains in terms of percentages were in the bottom quarter of the market, the greatest results were at the luxury end, with Sydney’s Mosman holding its position with the highest total value of house sales over the past 12 months at $1.652 billion.
While it has been a good year for those already in the market, there are indicators that conditions in 2025 could soften, with the final quarter of 2024 recording less robust results.
“The market’s initial strength in 2024 gradually waned due to declining demand, rising levels of advertised supply, and a shifting outlook for inflation and interest rates,” Ms Owen said.
However, she said an anticipated interest rate cut in the first half of 2025 and the possibility of wages growth next year made further increases in property values hard to predict.
“While market conditions are broadly expected to improve off the back of a cash rate
reduction in 2025, there will still be considerable diversity in housing market performance,” she said.
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Strong population growth, major infrastructure spending and comparatively affordable property are expected to cement Melbourne’s position as Australia’s most attractive long-term real estate market.
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Melbourne is poised to become Australia’s largest city within the next decade, with strong population growth, infrastructure investment and relative affordability driving long-term property demand.
A new research report from Knight Frank argues the Victorian capital remains one of the country’s most compelling markets for investors, businesses and residents.
The report highlights the city’s rapidly expanding population, diverse economy and major infrastructure pipeline as key factors underpinning future property growth.
Knight Frank Managing Director Victoria, Dominic Long, said Melbourne’s fundamentals continue to position the city strongly for long-term investment.
“Melbourne continues to stand out as one of Australia’s most compelling real estate markets,” he said.
“It is Australia’s strongest long-term growth city with the fastest growing population, the most diversified economy, world-class liveability and the most affordable major market for office, industrial and residential property.”
Population growth driving demand
Melbourne’s population has grown at an average rate of 1.8 per cent per year since 2000, faster than any advanced global economy, according to the research.
In the year to June 2025 alone, the city added about 123,500 residents, the largest annual increase of any Australian capital.
Population growth is expected to remain one of the key drivers of demand across residential and commercial property markets, including housing, offices and logistics space.
The report forecasts Melbourne’s population will overtake Sydney’s by the 2030s, reinforcing its position as the country’s fastest-growing major city.
Office market offering value
Melbourne’s CBD office market is also attracting renewed attention from investors.
Prime office rents remain significantly lower than in competing cities, with CBD office space about 46 per cent cheaper than Sydney and around 13 per cent cheaper than Brisbane.
That relative affordability is expected to drive long-term demand from occupiers and investors seeking value in Australia’s largest office markets.
The city’s office sector is also showing signs of recovery, with effective rents rising in 2025 and demand increasing for high-quality buildings in premium locations.
Industrial market benefiting from scale
Melbourne’s industrial sector continues to expand, supported by strong population growth, e-commerce demand and the scale of the city’s logistics network.
The city already hosts the country’s largest industrial market, with about 34 million square metres of warehousing stock and significant land available for future development.
Industrial rents remain competitive compared with other capitals, while Melbourne’s port handles the largest container volumes in Australia, further supporting demand for logistics space.
Infrastructure pipeline supporting growth
More than $200 billion in transport infrastructure investment between 2014 and 2036 is also expected to reshape the city and support future property values.
Major projects include the Metro Tunnel, the West Gate Tunnel, the North-East Link and the Suburban Rail Loop, which together will improve connectivity across Melbourne and its growth corridors.
Knight Frank’s Head of Research & Consulting, Victoria, Dr Tony McGough, said these investments would play a key role in supporting the city’s economic expansion.
“Melbourne is Australia’s most economically diverse city and has delivered stable growth for more than two decades,” he said.
“With strong population growth, a highly educated workforce and unprecedented infrastructure investment, Melbourne is well placed to remain one of Australia’s most attractive long-term property markets.”
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