What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision
2 min
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision.
The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty.
The first task is to calculate the impact of another 0.25 percentage-point increase. Indicative Canstar figures reported earlier this month suggest that such a move would add about $91 a month to repayments on a $600,000 loan, $122 on $800,000 and $152 on $1 million, although actual changes depend on rate, term and loan structure.
The second task is to compare the current loan with the market. Borrowers should examine the interest rate, annual package fee, offset balance, redraw rules and the revert rate on any expiring fixed portion. A lower advertised rate is not necessarily a better deal after fees, lost features or refinancing costs.
Third, test the household budget at least one percentage point above the current rate. This is not a forecast; it is a resilience exercise. Include council rates, strata, insurance, maintenance, school costs and realistic discretionary spending. Investors should also allow for vacancy and repairs rather than assuming uninterrupted rent.
Fourth, contact the existing lender before lodging multiple applications. A borrower with a sound repayment history may be able to negotiate a discount without refinancing. If the offer is weak, obtain comparable quotes and seek advice on whether changing lenders will genuinely improve the position.
Fifth, preserve liquidity. Using every available dollar to reduce principal may feel prudent, but an offset account can provide interest savings while retaining access to cash. The right structure depends on tax position and loan purpose, particularly where owner-occupied and investment debt coexist.
Borrowers considering a fixed rate face a trade-off. Fixing can provide repayment certainty, but may restrict additional repayments, offsets or early exit. Splitting a loan can diversify rate exposure without removing risk.
The worst time to examine a mortgage is after repayments have become unmanageable. A review conducted now gives borrowers more choices: renegotiate, refinance, adjust spending or build a buffer while their record remains strong.
Borrower checklist
Calculate: Repayments after a 0.25 and one percentage-point increase.
Compare: Rate, fees, offset, redraw, cashback conditions and total cost.
Review: Fixed-rate expiry, interest-only expiry and remaining loan term.
Protect: Emergency liquidity and insurance.
Waldorf Astoria Kuala Lumpur is scheduled to open on 30 October, introducing the Hilton luxury brand to Malaysia with an all-suite hotel in the city’s Golden Triangle.
Located steps from Crows Nest Metro, the near-complete development brings luxury living to Sydney’s Lower North Shore.
Employment fell by 39,300 and unemployment held at a revised 4.7 per cent, giving the RBA more room to pause in November.
2 min
Australia’s labour market weakened in September, reducing—but not eliminating—the case for another Reserve Bank rate rise in November.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.7 per cent, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. August was revised to the same level, while September employment fell by 39,300 people. The number of unemployed Australians increased by 8,900 to 732,000.
The weakness extended beyond the headline rate. The employment-to-population ratio fell 0.3 percentage points to 63.6 per cent, participation declined 0.2 points to 66.8 per cent and underemployment edged up to 6.3 per cent. Part-time employment fell by 73,700, partly offset by a 34,400 increase in full-time work.
For the RBA, this is a clearer sign that restrictive monetary policy is cooling demand. Higher unemployment and falling employment reduce wage pressure over time and increase the risk that another rate rise would push the economy harder than necessary.
That makes a November increase less certain. It does not make a hold inevitable. The RBA must balance labour-market softness against inflation, and the September-quarter consumer price index due later in October will carry more direct weight in the decision.
For mortgage holders and property investors, the practical conclusion is not to trade one data release. Borrowers should continue testing repayments at higher rates, preserve liquidity and avoid basing a purchase on an assumed near-term reversal. Refinancing decisions should be assessed against total cost, not simply the advertised rate.
Property markets may initially welcome a reduced probability of another increase because borrowing capacity and sentiment are highly rate-sensitive. But a weakening labour market is not unambiguously positive for housing: job security supports mortgage serviceability, rental demand and buyer confidence.
The September numbers have given the RBA a credible reason to wait. Inflation will determine whether it can use it.
Chinese carmaker GAC will expand its Australian electric vehicle line-up with the city-focused AION UT hatchback.
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision. The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty. …
Continue reading “What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision”
