How Australia compares internationally on home affordability and interest rates
It’s good news for foreign investors but presents challenges for local buyers and homeowners looking to step into, or move up in, the property market
2 min
Australian property has shown greater resilience against higher interest rates than many other real estate markets around the world, according to a new report. However, Australia has also not lifted its official cash rate as much as other countries during the global battle against inflation. Our cash rate of 4.35 percent is significantly lower than the United States’ rate range of 5.25 percent to 5.5 percent and only higher than a few nations such as France, South Korea and Japan.
Research by Australian real estate network PRD shows most property markets around the world have gone through the same market cycle since the pandemic ended. In most countries, there was a brief period of strong growth in home values as the world re-opened between 2021 and 2022, followed by declining prices as cash rates increased.
“Compared to other countries around the world, Australia has proved itself to be a more resilient market against successive cash rate hikes,” said PRD chief economist Dr Diaswati Mardiasmo. “Our property prices did not decline as sharply as New Zealand, Canada, Hong Kong, the UK, and South Korea.
“In terms of affordability, internationally, we sit in the middle. New Zealand, Canada, the USA, and Hong Kong are still more expensive than Australia, but the UK, South Korea, Japan, and France are more affordable.”
The report points out that this is one of the reasons why Australian property is still attractive to many international buyers and investors. For Australians, housing affordability has deteriorated by 15 percent over the past five years, according to the research.
“This means those who bought a property in the past five years are ‘worse off’ economically and in greater danger of mortgage stress, as opposed to those who bought property 10 to 20 years ago,” the report said.
Historically, it is unusual for Australian home values to rise at the same time as interest rates. This only occurred due to an imbalance between supply and demand. Dr Mardiasmo said other countries such as New Zealand, Canada, France, South Korea and Japan also have a housing supply deficit. Meantime, supply levels are improving in the UK, US and Hong Kong, she said.
For now, the Reserve Bank of Australia is holding the cash rate steady while monitoring the impact of its 13 rate rises between May 2022 and November 2023 on inflation. During a press conference earlier this month, Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock said a rate cut was unlikely this year.
Dr Mardiasmo said a stable cash rate creates a catch-22 in the market. “On one hand it provides stability, hence many believe that now is an ideal time to purchase. On the other, a stable cash rate has created ‘sticky buyers’ that no longer feel the need to rush …”.
Other countries are also keeping their cash rates steady, including Hong Kong, the US, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and South Korea. Some countries have begun cutting their cash rates, including Canada and France. Japan is the outlier after commencing a cash rate hiking cycle in March. This followed almost 14 years of negative or zero interest rates. The rate in Japan is now 0.25 percent.
Australian shares fell on Thursday as Wall Street weakness, rising oil and persistent rate concerns weighed on most of the market. The S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.72 per cent to 8,702. The All Ordinaries lost 0.66 per cent to finish at 8,897. Mining stocks were hit particularly hard, while real estate also dragged on the index. …
Continue reading “ASX falls 0.7 per cent as miners and property stocks retreat”
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision. The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty. …
Continue reading “What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision”
A five-bedroom Palo Alto home designed by Steven Ehrlich is listed for $44 million, making it the city’s most expensive listing. Built around a dramatic concrete spine, the home features four courtyards and a pool.
3 min
For years, tech entrepreneur Asher Waldfogel and his wife, Helyn MacLean, dreamed of building a modern house in Palo Alto, Calif.
The couple, however, worried about clashing with the Mediterranean-style architecture typically associated with their neighborhood of Old Palo Alto.
So they tapped architect Steven Ehrlich to create a design that paid homage to its surroundings with stucco, mahogany and titanium zinc cladding. They spent $20 million over several years building the house, completed in 2005.
Now looking to be closer to their adult daughter on the East Coast, they are putting the five-bedroom home on the market for $44 million—the most expensive listing in Palo Alto.
Waldfogel is an angel investor who co-founded Redback Networks, a telecommunications-equipment company. MacLean previously had a career in fundraising.
The couple purchased the roughly 0.4-acre site for $7.1 million in 2000 and demolished a circa-1930s Spanish Colonial home. The house they built pinwheels around a central staircase. It has 7,900 square feet of livable space, with four distinct courtyards and a pool.
A key feature of the home is a cast-in-place concrete wall, or spine, that is two stories high and about 80 feet long. “There’s a little bit of controlled chaos in what comes out of the form,” unlike a perfectly uniform surface, Waldfogel said. “If you want that, you do it in plastic.”
Waldfogel said he and his wife are thinking about the next phase of life now that their daughter is grown, although they have not decided where they will move. They also have a home in Sun Valley, Idaho.
“Right now we’re just trying to emotionally let go and decide what to do next,” he said.
Palo Alto, an epicenter of venture capital and tech startups in Silicon Valley, is home to some of the country’s biggest tech titans. Sales volume and prices are rising, with a median sale price of $3.5 million for the three months ending in August, up 5.8% year-over-year, according to real-estate brokerage Redfin.
Arthur Sharif of Sotheby’s International Realty—San Francisco Brokerage has the listing.
A restored 1860s Brisbane residence transformed by GRAYA has smashed Paddington’s house price record, selling for more than $12 million.
Margot Robbie may have travelled from a Queensland farm to the highest reaches of Hollywood, but a reported $28 million property deal suggests the Gold Coast has never lost its hold on her. The Australian actor and producer is believed to be the mystery buyer of Redwood, a seven-acre Currumbin Valley estate transformed into the …
Continue reading “Margot Robbie Reportedly Behind $28 Million Currumbin Valley Homecoming”
