Australian property is once again in the midst of a growth cycle. After prices cooled in late 2024, 2025 has, aside from a flat January, delivered consistent gains. Much of this momentum is being fuelled by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s ongoing easing cycle, which has yet to reach its “terminal rate,” with several more rate cuts expected through the remainder of 2025 and into 2026.

Affordability has become the defining challenge in the residential real estate market. First home buyers are struggling to break in, squeezed by high entry prices, while many investors have stayed on the sidelines in recent years amid elevated interest rates and intense competition.

Yet the hunt for the next property hotspot never stops. It might not have the glamour of Bondi or Byron Bay. Still, a number of pockets within Australia’s largest capital cities are outperforming the broader market — and they’re attracting growing attention from buyers and investors alike.

We’ve looked at the best-performing SA4 regions from property data analytics firm Cotality.

Brisbane

Brisbane has been the strongest capital city property market over the last two years. The market has been supercharged by the announcement of the 2032 Brisbane Summer Olympics, but the market has been on fire since 2020, when there was an exodus from the southern states to the Sunshine States, which drove Brisbane to Australia’s second most expensive capital city.

Over the last 12 months, Brisbane dwelling values have risen by 7.3%, only bettered by growth in Darwin. There are some pockets around the city which have outperformed the market. The top five SA4s (regions) are:

Nundah (North)
Median value $988,394
Annual change +11.8%
Ipswich Hinterland (Ipswich)
Median $790,119
Annual +10.7%.
Redcliffe (Moreton Bay – North)
Median $903,286
Annual +10.0%.
Caboolture Hinterland (Moreton Bay – North)
Median $888,571
Annual +10.0%.
Ipswich Inner (Ipswich)
Median $726,560
Annual +9.9%.

Brisbane is not only posting solid citywide gains, but the strongest pockets are outside the CBD. Growth is concentrated in Moreton Bay, Ipswich and northern corridors (Nundah/Redcliffe). That pattern points to ongoing demand for more affordable family housing and lifestyle submarkets within commuting distance of the city.

Melbourne

Melbourne has been the polar opposite to Brisbane in the last few years. It has been one of the worst-performing property markets, slipping to the sixth most expensive capital city in the rankings with a median dwelling value of $803,000. Only Hobart and Darwin media dwelling values are lower.

Dwelling values are only up 0.5% year to date; however, 2025 has been more positive since the RBA started cutting rates. Dwelling values are up 2.4% year to date, and growth is becoming more consistent, something which Melbourne has struggled with since being the most locked-down city in the world during the pandemic. Struggling to respond from then.

There have been some pockets, however, where growth has been stronger over the last 12 months. The top five SA4 regions have been:

Frankston (Mornington Peninsula)
Median $793,152
Annual +6.0%.
Tullamarine–Broadmeadows (North West)
Median $709,167
Annual +5.0%.
Knox (Outer East)
Median $942,980
Annual +4.5%.
Dandenong (South East)
Median $757,195,
Annual +3.8%.
Sunbury (North West)
Median $694,151
Annual +3.8%.
These top performers show growth focused on middle-ring and growth-corridor suburbs (Mornington Peninsula, northwest and outer east). For Melbourne readers, the implication is that recovery is geographically uneven — steady gains in commuter and lifestyle belts rather than a broad inner-city surge.

Sydney

Sydney, Australia’s most expensive capital, sits somewhere between Brisbane and Melbourne in its performance. The Harbour Capital is often the most impacted during a downturn, given the relative affordability of Sydney compared to the other capital cities. But then when there are good times, Sydney usually is the strongest beneficiary.

Dwelling prices are 2.6% up year to date, but the house market is largely outstripping the unit growth. Houses were up 0.8% in April, the strongest performing capital city house market on the eastern seaboard.

Sydney’s best-performing regions have been found well outside of the postcard suburbs Sydney is known for. The five best-performing SA4s in Greater Sydney by 12-month growth are:

St Marys (Outer West & Blue Mountains)
Median $1,024,688
Annual +7.4%.
Fairfield (South West)
Median $1,189,601
Annual +7.0%.
Liverpool (South West)
Median $1,123,438
Annual +6.8%.
Richmond–Windsor (Outer West & Blue Mountains)
Median $945,556
Annual +6.7%.
Bankstown (Inner South West)
Median $1,408,088
Annual +6.6%.
Sydney’s strongest performers are dominated by the western and south-western corridors — affordable family suburbs and growth-area precincts where demand and price momentum remain strong. The much larger median values in some of these SA4s also show that even within growth suburbs, prices are high relative to national benchmarks.

Australia’s housing crisis will not be solved by first-home buyer incentives or tax changes alone, with leading property figures warning governments must tackle supply constraints if affordability is to improve.

Speaking at the Kanebridge Quarterly Property Leadership Summit in Sydney last week, expert project marketing specialist Sam Elbanna, property investor and fund manager Paul Miron and property consultant Karla McNeice said that a lack of housing supply remained the central issue facing the market.

Elbanna, Director of CPM Realty with more than 30 years’ experience in project sales, argued that successive governments had focused too heavily on stimulating demand rather than addressing the barriers preventing new housing from being delivered.

“The misconception is that politicians think the way to solve the housing crisis is to drive demand,” he said.

“The reality is that’s not the way. This is a supply-side problem, and it needs to be solved on the supply side.”

Drawing on his experience in project sales, Elbanna said policies designed to help first-home buyers often had unintended consequences, pointing to previous grants that ultimately flowed through to higher property prices.

Instead, he said developers were facing increasing red tape, approval delays and rising costs, which were discouraging new housing supply.

“In the absence of stock, demand exceeds supply,” he said.

Miron, a Co-Founder and Fund Manager of Msquared Capital, said the housing debate had become overly focused on tax policy while overlooking broader structural issues.

He argued that affordability challenges stemmed from a combination of factors, including planning constraints, supply shortages, migration levels and interest rates.

“No-one can be 100 per cent certain on the real reason for property prices is going up,” he said.

“The reason why property prices are higher is a combination of interest rates, lack of supply, migration, vacancy rates and maybe taxes play a role.”

Miron was critical of recent federal housing policy changes, warning they could reduce the number of new homes being built and further constrain supply that was even highlighted in the budget.

He also highlighted the importance of the property sector to the broader economy, noting that residential real estate and related industries employed more than one million Australians.

McNeice, who advises developers on sales strategy and market intelligence, said understanding buyers had become increasingly important as affordability pressures intensified.

While affordability remained a major consideration, she said today’s buyers were focused on value rather than simply price.

“People are looking for value for money,” she said.

She said buyers were increasingly evaluating factors such as transport connections, walkability, nearby amenities and flexible living spaces that could accommodate changing family needs.

“What infrastructure is going on? Can I walk to the shops? Can I meet people at the local cafe?” she said.

The panel also discussed the mounting pressures facing developers, with Elbanna arguing that many projects become financially unviable from the moment a site is purchased.

“The viability of a development happens at the moment the site is bought,” he said.

He said rising construction costs, higher interest rates and overly optimistic feasibility assumptions had left some developers exposed as market conditions changed.

While acknowledging the growing number of smaller and first-time developers entering the market, Elbanna said property development required expertise across finance, construction, marketing and legal disciplines.

“It is actually a business that requires a level of expertise,” he said.

Looking ahead, the panel agreed opportunities remained in the market despite current challenges.

Miron said property should continue to be viewed as a long-term investment and cautioned against trying to time short-term market movements.

McNeice said success would increasingly depend on identifying projects that genuinely met changing buyer expectations.

Elbanna said affordable housing remained achievable, but developers needed to deliver more than just homes.

“We can provide affordable housing in this country,” he said.

“But we’ve got to wrap that affordable housing with the things that people want.”

As Australia’s housing affordability debate intensifies, the panellists agreed on one point: without a meaningful increase in housing supply, demand-side measures alone are unlikely to solve the nation’s property challenges.

Where to Invest in 2025: Top-Performing Suburbs in Australia’s Property Market

Australia’s market is on the move again, and not always where you’d expect. We’ve found the surprise suburbs where prices are climbing fastest.

Brisbane

Melbourne

Sydney

Australia’s housing affordability crisis is being fuelled by chronic undersupply, planning delays and rising development costs, as politicians continue to focus on the wrong solutions.