The two Australian states where it’s a buyers’ market
Property values have experienced strong growth around the country, but there are two highly desirable areas where oversupply is putting downward pressure on sales
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While property values are rising strongly in most markets across Australia, it’s a vastly different story in Victoria and Tasmania, new data from CoreLogic shows. Over the 12 months to May 31, the median house price lifted just 1.8 percent in Melbourne and fell 0.6 percent in regional Victoria. The median dipped 0.1 percent in Hobart and ticked 0.4 percent higher in regional Tasmania. This is in stark contrast to Perth, where values are up 22 percent, and regional Western Australia, up 14.8 percent; as well as Brisbane, up 16.3 percent, and regional Queensland, up 11.8 percent.
CoreLogic Head of Research, Eliza Owen says an oversupply of homes for sale has weakened prices in Victoria and Tasmania, creating buyers’ markets.
“On the supply side, there has been more of a build-up in new listings than usual across Victoria, even where home value performance has been relatively soft,” Ms Owen said. “Victoria has also had more dwellings completed than any other state and territory in the past 10 years, keeping a lid on price growth. The additional choice in stock … means vendors have to bring down their price expectations, and that brings values down.”
Melbourne dwelling values are now four percent below their record high and Hobart dwelling values are 11.5 percent below their record high. Both records were set more than two years ago in March 2022. The oversupply has also affected how long it takes to sell a property. The median days on market is currently 36 in Melbourne and 45 in Hobart compared to a combined capitals median of 27. It takes 55 days to sell in regional Victoria and 64 days in regional Tasmania compared to a combined regional median of 42 days.
Changes in population patterns have also contributed to higher numbers of homes for sale in recent years. Since COVID began in early 2020, thousands of families have left Melbourne because working from home meant they could buy a bigger property in more affordable areas. While many relocated to regional Victoria, a significant proportion left the state altogether, with South-East Queensland a favoured destination. Meantime, Tasmania’s surge in interstate migration during FY21 was short-lived. Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows the island state has recorded a net loss of residents to other states and territories every quarter since June 2022.
Record overseas migration has more than offset interstate migration losses, thereby keeping Victoria’s and Tasmania’s populations growing. However, the impact of migrants on housing is largely seen in the rental market, so this segment of population gain has done little to support values. Growth in weekly rents has been far stronger than growth in home values over the past year, with rents up 9 percent in Melbourne and 4.8 percent in regional Victoria, and up 1 percent in Hobart and 2.7 percent in regional Tasmania.
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If you’re looking to run into Cristiano Ronaldo, this six-bedroom villa near the coastal Portuguese town of Cascais, where the footballer lives, might up your chances.
The detached home, which came to market earlier this month asking €10 million (US$11.79 million), is within the gated Quinta Patino community in the town’s Estoril suburb, and comes with a private green-tiled pool, its own wine cellar and cinema, as well as a moody six-car show garage.
The eclectic house comes with a little French flair, including a grey mansard roof, as well as arched windows and a cream-stucco facade.
The interiors showcase a mix of modern floor-to-ceiling windows as well as more old-school elegance, including black-and-white checkered flooring, extensive crown moldings, a wood-paneled library and classic columns in between arched windows.
There are six bedrooms across 7,000 square feet, as well as a wine cellar, game room, a pergola and easy transitions between the indoors and outdoors.
“This residence was created for the way people truly want to live, with light-filled spaces that flow naturally from the kitchen and dining areas out to the garden and pool,” said listing agent Yared Hagos of Nest Seekers International via email.
Cascais is located in the Portuguese Riviera, roughly 30 minutes from Lisbon, and features sandy beaches, resorts and other visitor attractions.
“This property represents the best of both worlds, complete privacy in one of Portugal’s most prestigious gated communities, and yet you’re just minutes from the beach, the golf courses, and Lisbon’s cultural scene,” Hagos wrote.
Cascais is also one of many Portuguese cities to have benefited from the popularity of the country’s real estate among foreign investors, particularly its high-end homes , according to Hagos. Mansion Global could not determine the identity of the seller.
“With six consecutive months of rising buyer demand and price growth now exceeding 15% annually, prime areas like Lisbon, Cascais and the Algarve are seeing international buyers compete for an increasingly scarce supply of high-end homes,” he said.
The Portuguese Riviera also has seen an influx of celebrities in recent years, including most notably, soccer legend Cristiano Ronaldo, Mansion Global previously reported.
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