DWINDLING SUPPLY WILL DRIVE PREMIUM CBD RENTS
Sydney faces a shortage of new premium office developments, with Knight Frank research forecasting rental growth of 5% per year as demand outstrips supply.
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Sydney’s CBD is heading into a period of historically low new office supply, with just three major premium developments over 25,000 square metres due by 2029, according to new Knight Frank research.
Of the 163,000 square metres set to be delivered, 65 per cent is already pre-committed, leaving only one per cent of total CBD stock available for lease until 2027. No new projects are currently slated for 2028-29.
Knight Frank Associate Director, Research & Consulting, Marco Mascitelli, said premium-grade space continued to outperform the wider market.
“Since 2018 there has been an average pre-practical completion commitment rate of 87% across all new developments, which have totalled 481,000 across 13 schemes,” Mascitelli said.
“Over the past 18 months, 170,000 square metres of newly developed premium grade office space has been delivered…all have been successfully leased, achieving an average commitment rate of 90%.”
National Head of Leasing Andrea Roberts said the market was tightening rapidly.
“Tenants continue to prioritise centrally located assets with market-leading amenity, and in time this will expose a supply shortfall at the top end of market which will drive rapid rental growth,” she said.
“As a result of the looming supply shortfall, occupiers seeking premium space within the 2026 to 2028 window need to act swiftly to secure their preferred option.”
Knight Frank forecasts average rental growth of around five per cent a year for Sydney’s premium assets, with incentive levels expected to fall below those offered across the wider market.
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