The Complete Guide to Haggling in This Economy

Just thinking about haggling makes some people cringe. But things are way too expensive now to let an uncomfortable feeling stand in the way of a discount.

More is negotiable than you realise. Everything from your mortgage rate to your hotel room and medical bills is fair game. When you speak up, ask open-ended questions and do a little research, and you can save hundreds if not thousands of dollars.

To get in the right mind-set, think about what you might be able to offer the other party in your negotiation, perhaps in terms of future business. Humanise yourself (are you a poor student buying a present for Father’s Day?), practice with a script and always show respect, said Richard Shell, a professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania who teaches negotiation.

Be strategic about timing. Getting the best deal for a car might be easier at the end of the month instead of the beginning if the salesperson has to meet a monthly quota.

Haggling—an ancient practice among people in almost every culture—remains one of the best ways to save money. Take mattresses. Sixty percent of people who choose to haggle for a mattress succeeded—and saved a median of $245, according to a recent study by Consumer Reports.

Savvy shoppers such as Cameron Huddleston and her husband Alex Lebedinsky have been haggling for years, using a version of good cop, bad cop to score a deal.

When the Bowling Green, Ky., couple saw a $3,000 cream coloured sectional at a local home furnishing store, Lebedinsky said within earshot of the owner that it was nice but he didn’t want to spend that much money. Huddleston tried to “plead” her case (also so the owner would hear.) She said it was smart to invest in a high quality sofa that would last. But Lebedinsky wouldn’t budge.

Eventually, Huddleston asked the owner to help her out and the price came down quickly: $2,400.

“My husband is always my wingman when I buy furniture or anything expensive,” said Huddleston.

While it may not be possible to score a discount on everything (i.e. a grocery store clerk probably doesn’t have the authority to give you a better price on those eggs), it is viable in more places you would think, including big box stores that will often match a competitor’s advertised lower price.

“I tell people if they never hear no it means they haven’t been assertive enough,” said Linda Babcock, a professor at Carnegie Mellon University, who teaches negotiation.

Here are areas where you can haggle, rated on their return on haggling, or ROH. When it comes to haggling, there are only two questions to ask: How hard is this going to be and how much money can it save me? The ROH score is a number from one (it isn’t worth it) to 10 (you’re crazy not to try).

Each also has a degree of bargaining difficulty—beginner, intermediate and pro.

Hotels

ROH Score: 5 most of the time, 3 this summer (It doesn’t take much time, aside from possibly having to interact with the concierge desk. The savings may be slim, especially during peak summer season.)

Degree of difficulty: Beginner

You wake up early in the morning on your vacation for a quick run on the treadmill in the hotel gym, only to find it is closed for renovations. That letdown can provide an opening to save money on your getaway.

When checking out after your stay, examine the line items on your invoice. There is a decent chance you’ll spot a so-called resort fee, even if you’re not staying at a five-star, luxury resort. The fees are ostensibly meant to cover services and perks a resort may offer, such as wireless internet or cabanas by the pool, but are sometimes tacked on even at more run-of-the-mill hotels.

“We have seen this for a decade at some of the lowest-priced hotels,” says Lauren Wolfe, counsel at Travelers United, a consumer-advocacy group. These tacked-on charges aren’t always flagged as resort fees—at low-cost hotels, they are often labeled as “safe fees” for the use of the in-room safes.

These fees can add up: A January analysis of pricing at more than 100 U.S. hotels by personal-finance website NerdWallet found that the average resort fee was more than $42 per night, or about 11% of the nightly cost for a room at a hotel that charges such a fee.

But travellers don’t need to stomach such nickel-and-diming. Yes, you can ask hotel operators to remove these fees from your bill.

If a resort fee wasn’t advertised as part of the room rate at the time of booking, Wolfe suggests negotiating with the concierge during checkout to have the added charge removed. Be firm and polite, she says.

If the resort fee is tied to specific amenities—such as a gym or pool—and those were inaccessible during your stay, use that as a bargaining chip. Play nice, and know that your attempt to get the fee scrapped may not succeed. “Don’t get in a fight with the person working at the front desk—that person did not set the policy,” Wolfe warns.

There are other ways to get a deal on a hotel stay. Before you book your vacation, try to negotiate a lower daily rate for a hotel room.

Start off by researching the prices for hotels in your destination across a variety of online travel agencies, and then compare those rates to the ones on the hotels’ own websites. Once you identify a hotel you wish to stay at, you’re going to have to pick up the phone.

Ask the representative for their best available rate, and see if they can match the rates offered by other nearby properties. Travellers may find more success with smaller, boutique resorts than with larger properties. Also ask if they have discounts for members of programs like AAA or AARP.

If the representative can’t offer you a discount, the hotel may be able to offer free parking or complimentary meal vouchers for breakfast at the hotel’s restaurant, says Jamie Larounis, a travel industry analyst with loyalty and rewards website UpgradedPoints.com.

Then at check in, be sure to ask if there are any upgrades available. These may come at a higher price, so have a sense of what the room rates are at the hotel to know if you’re getting a deal or not. If you know that the property isn’t sold out, there may be bargaining room.

Cars

ROH Score: 8 (Salespeople expect you to negotiate so if you do your homework, you can save thousands.)

Degree of difficulty: Intermediate

Preparing to haggle over a car purchase is enough to make your palms sweat and stomach turn. It also presents an opportunity to cut a deal on one of the most expensive purchases you’ll likely ever make.

Jay Austin is accustomed to negotiating as a former vice president in supply chain for a chemical company. Still, he used to dread trudging into a dealership to buy a car a decade ago.

“Let’s get our game face on,” the Medina, Ohio, resident would say to his wife as they rehearsed how they’d respond to different dealer tactics.

The state of haggling in the auto industry looks much different now. Shoppers can lay most of the deal-making groundwork even before coming face-to-face with a salesperson, comparing vehicle prices online and pitting offers against each other.

When Austin decided to sell his Lincoln MKC a couple of years ago, he surveyed online car retailers like Carvana and got $5,000 more than what his dealer offered him.

While there is more information at shoppers’ fingertips now, the car market is trickier to navigate. An inventory crunch sent vehicle prices flying, and buyers routinely paid hundreds of dollars over listed prices last year, according to Edmunds, a car-buying research firm. Pre pandemic, the average transaction price for a set of wheels was typically $2,000 or more below sticker price.

Still, haggling isn’t out of the question. One of the keys to having the upper hand now is to be flexible in what type of vehicle you’re willing to buy, say dealers and car brokers. If you’re hoping to get an “Arctic White” Corvette, and won’t settle for any other colour, be prepared to wait, and pay more.

Dealers have strategies to keep the customer paying a premium. For example, it isn’t wise to immediately tell a dealer you’re planning on trading in your vehicle. They can lowball you on its value, a practice called “stealing the trade,” said Earl Stewart, who owns a Toyota dealership in Florida. When you finalise the terms of your sale, you can alert the dealer that you would actually like to trade in for another vehicle, he said.

When shopping around for different offers, you can even go incognito by using a fake email or phone number, Stewart said. This will keep incessant follow-up calls from salespeople at bay.

Most of all, keep your cool if you’re trying to negotiate the price of a car down, he said.

“One of the mistakes that people make is they show up to the dealership kind of with the boxing gloves on ready to go to battle,” said Tom McParland, who runs a consulting business where he assists customers with the car-buying process. If you start acting rudely to a salesperson, you can probably kiss a good bargain goodbye.

Some buyers got creative during the pandemic in their pursuit of a deal, including flying across the country to snag a reasonably priced set of wheels. One buyer even created a haggling tipsheet, including a last-ditch measure: bring your grandma to the dealership to cry.

Home mortgages

ROH Score: 7 (It can feel awkward to ask a zillion questions to parse the terms of a mortgage loan, but you could score tens of thousands of dollars in savings over decades by landing a lower rate.)

Degree of difficulty: Intermediate

If you’re shopping for something complex, say a mortgage, beware of the human tendency to go on autopilot and accept the first price you’re offered, said Samantha Lamas, senior behavioural researcher at fund-research firm Morningstar.

Lenders may be counting on you to choose the easiest route because you feel overwhelmed, she said.

But here’s a reminder: Shopping around is haggling and pays off.

Borrowers who applied with two different lenders reduced their mortgage rate by an average of 0.10 percentage point, according to research from Freddie Mac that examined purchases between 2010 and 2021.

Take a $450,000 home price where the buyer puts 20% down and is looking at current mortgage rates ranging from 6.5% to about 7.5%. Over 30 years, the difference between 6.5% and 7.5% could add up to roughly $87,000 savings in interest, said Ted Rossman, a consumer-spending analyst at Bankrate.

Lenders are far more willing to work with borrowers these days. For one, they aren’t as busy as they used to be. Mortgage underwriting has slowed to a crawl in recent months as rates are keeping many prospective home buyers on the sidelines.

There are some guidelines. Don’t take a lenders’ first offer. Instead, compare offers from three to five lenders including a credit union, financial advisers say. Don’t let misconceptions or technical financial language hold you back either.

Doing this homework puts you ahead in seeking a loanMost mortgage shoppers don’t bother to ask around for a lower rate, studies show.

It is also important to understand how mortgage inquiries affect your credit score. Lenders pull borrower’s credit reports, or make what’s called hard inquiries, before they decide if they’ll give you a mortgage. A hard inquiry usually dings your credit score by a few points, said Aniva Hinduja, general manager of home and mortgage at Credit Karma. All mortgage credit inquiries within a 45-day window count as one inquiry so, shop within this period to minimise how much your score will fall, said Bill Banfield, executive vice president of capital markets for Rocket Mortgage.

Once you compare terms such as the loan’s annual percentage rate and monthly mortgage payment, narrow down your list of possible lenders to two or three. Feel free to play one lender against another as you decide which loan is ultimately best for your financial situation.

Cellphone and internet

ROH SCORE: 5 (It is just a few phone calls, but also just a few hundred dollars a year in savings, most likely.)

Degree of difficulty: Beginner

The end of your wireless or internet bill contract means you’re free to change providers. It also means you’re ripe with fresh haggling power.

Companies may be more willing to dish out their best offerings to convince you to stick around.

Start by familiarising yourself with your plan. Salespeople often sell the priciest option, so there is a chance you’re already paying for a bunch of features you don’t need. You should also know competing service providers’ plan offerings, even if you want to stick with your current provider.

Now for the hard part: Picking up the phone. Don’t waste your time chatting with the general customer-service line. Ask to speak to the retention department (where trained specialists are better prepared to get you a sweeter deal) and mention that you’re thinking of switching providers.

“It’s the threat of canceling the service that gets us the most amount of money,” says Brian Keaney, chief operating officer at Billshark, a company that helps customers negotiate monthly bills.

Pat yourself on the back for making it this far, because it should get easier from here—you shouldn’t have to say much more. Industry executives suggest you say that you want to pay as little as possible, ask what they can do for you and listen. If they give you an offer, politely ask if there is more they can do.

Heads up: Wireless carriers won’t change the price of your plan. But! They could upgrade you to a better one—potentially one that isn’t advertised—or shave off pesky add-ons you don’t want. Even if you have a bare-bones plan, they could still give you loyalty credits to bring the cost down for a while.

If you do get one of those credits, check your bill and make sure it gets added. It can take two to three billing cycles to show up on your statement, Keaney said. Find out if your new plan or credit runs for a limited amount of time, like a year or two. If so, mark your calendar so you know to renegotiate the deal before the price increases again.

Some executives recommend mentioning life events such as a birth or job loss to unlock certain discounts if true, but only toward the end of the call after you’ve gained other offerings. Otherwise, the representative may be inclined to only give discounts that help in the short-term.

If you feel like you’re not getting anywhere with the representative you’re speaking to, politely let them know that you’ll call back later. (You can scream into the void after you hang up.) Every representative is different and you could get matched with someone who is more willing to help you out next time. Be patient, pick up the phone and repeat the previous steps.

Medical bills

ROH Score: 8 (It is a massive headache to negotiate payments when you’re dealing with a health crisis, but lower cost of treatments can save you thousands.)

Degree of difficulty: Pro

In 2010, Amanda Grossman was speechless when a receptionist requested a higher-than-expected $75 dental copay. She didn’t yell or scream. The shock and confused look on her face must have said it all. Seconds later, the receptionist said $50 would be acceptable.

“I thought, ‘Oh My Gosh. There’s wiggle room,’” says Grossman, 40, a certified financial education instructor.

Now emboldened, Grossman regularly questions medical charges, requests discounts and cheaper prescriptions. To her surprise and relief, she discovered that doctors who don’t accept her health insurance are sometimes willing to lower costs.

For example, her son sees a specialist who doesn’t accept the family’s health insurance. Grossman asked if the specialist would lower the per-visit cost, which the specialist did—to $150 from $200. Then, Grossman submitted a claim to her insurance company, which covered $97 for each $150 visit.

It also helps, she says, to ask for itemised bills to spot potential overcharges or errors. She recalls going to the hospital on a pregnancy-related visit seven years ago and seeing a $200 copay charge on her itemised bill for the emergency room, even though she never went to the emergency room. The charge was dropped after she called.

Nearly half of adults who received a medical or dental bill that they thought contained an error successfully resolved the disputed bill with their medical care provider or insurer, according to a 2022 healthcare debt survey from the Kaiser Family Foundation, a nonprofit organisation that focuses on health care issues.

With a few questions, prescription costs can be reduced or avoided as well.

Grossman’s husband, Paul Peacock, was prescribed a $400 medication from his dermatologist. She suggested he call his doctor, say $400 was too much for them, and ask if there was a cheaper alternative. He did and there was. His new prescription costs $168.

Grossman isn’t afraid to ask for price breaks in other parts of their lives as well. When the couple needed the HVAC replaced, the contractor handed them a bill for $7,600.

“Is there anything else you can do for us?” she asked. He gave one glance to his partner, she recalls, and responded “How about if we lop off $400?”

“Yes, let’s do that,” she responded.

The house of the future still putting Australia on the world stage

Y ou could argue we didn’t deserve the Sydney Opera House. In fact, some would say we still don’t.

Regularly referenced in Australian popular culture on everything from tea towels to Priscilla: Queen of the Desert, it’s easy to gloss over that the design for this iconic building on a narrow peninsula in Sydney Harbour came from a vision literally half a world away.

For architecture aficionados, it’s a work of unparalleled excellence. For Australians, it’s as synonymous with our identity as Uluru, kangaroos and Bondi Beach.  

This year marks the 50th anniversary since the World Heritage-listed building was opened in October 1973, amid budget blowouts, design changes and disputes among politicians, engineers and designers that eventually lead Danish architect, and visionary Jørn Utzon to resign, vowing never to return.

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Now considered Utzon’s greatest work, the site went through a 10 year building program at a cost of almost $300 million, including the renewal of the Concert Hall by ARM Architects, which reopened last year. It is designed to ensure it maintains its position as an architectural masterpiece, as well as being a fitting venue for world-class performing arts experiences.

But it almost wasn’t so.

Conceived on the other side of the world

When the NSW Government under Labor Premier Joseph Cahill announced a design competition in 1956 for a new opera house on Bennelong Point, there were more than 200 entries from local and international architects. Among them was a simple but radical design with curved ‘shells’ by an unknown Danish architect that had already been rejected by the judging panel as impossible to build.

Current heritage architect at the Sydney Opera House, Alan Croker, says it was the renown American-Finnish architect Eero Saarinen, who was on the judging panel, who suggested the design be reconsidered.

“Saarinen was late to the meeting and he pulled it out of the reject box,” says Croker. “He recognised that it was possible (to build) because of some of the work he was doing at JFK Airport in New York. But at that stage it was not physically possible to build a shell structure of that height.”

circa 1965: Danish architect Jorn Utzon in front of the Sydney Opera House during its construction. (Photo by Keystone/Getty Images)

While Utzon had grown up literally half a world away in Denmark, his home town in Aalborg is known for its waterfront which cuts through the Jutland region. The son of a seaman, Utzon understood the notion of peninsulas as pieces of land that could be viewed and accessed from all sides. In an age where commercial air travel was still a novelty, he also recognised that any building in a prominent position like this would be regularly viewed from above.

“He understood the site from similar places in Denmark and Europe and from his knowledge of navigation charts, so he understood plans from below and above the water,” says Croker. “He looked to Kronborg Castle (in Helsingør) which is on a headland and he saw it as being a similar idea to this building which would be seen from all sides while still having a relationship to the land.”

As it turns out, the unknown architect from Denmark understood the potential of the Sydney Harbour site better than most, says heritage manager at the Sydney Opera House, Laura Matarese.

“There were commonalities in how he could read the design brief and the site, which is what made it so special,” she says. “Because of the way he grew up and his understanding of water and how it moves, he knew that what the site needed was inspiration from nature.”

A spiritual experience

Prior to submitting his design to the NSW Government, Utzon had travelled extensively, including trekking through New Mexico and Central America where he had been inspired by the temples of the Mayan and Aztec cultures.

Director of Exhibitions at the Utzon Center in Denmark, Line Nørskov Eriksen, who wrote her PhD on Utzon’s work, says the influence of those structures is evident in the design of the Sydney Opera House.

“He travelled to Aztec and Mayan archaeological sites and the Yucatan peninsula where these civilisations had created platforms in the jungle,” she says. “Utzon described moving up these platforms step by step and how, when you stand upon the platform, your world is transformed. You have this sense of being closer to heaven. 

“It has this authentic quality of a temple. Even though the platform was built thousands of years ago, you have that same feeling.”

Coupled with the romance of the curved shells, the soaring ceilings and its connection to landscape, the opera house steps, where countless tourists have posed for photos and many more music lovers have enjoyed their favourite bands, were a deliberate decision to elevate the experience of seeing live performance from the everyday lives of visitors.

“The opera house is almost like a temple structure,” says Croker. “It has the ability to elevate the experience from a physical one to an emotional level, which was something that Utzon was trying to do — to create a disconnect with the ordinary world.”

The beauty of a
simple idea

There’s no question that building the opera house was extremely challenging. By the time it opened, the initial budget had blown out from $7 million to $102 million and timelines had stretched from a four-year completion target to the eventual 14 years it took to finish the building.

All this for a building Nørskov Eriksen describes as “a window into the beauty of a simple idea.”

John Weiley’s 1968 documentary Autopsy on a Dream, which examines the cultural, political and architectural forces at play during construction, suggests work began on the site before the question of building the revolutionary shells was resolved for political expediency. That is, that the project may have been cancelled with a change of government if work wasn’t already underway.

The knock-on effect, where, as narrator Bob Ellis puts it, ‘mistakes were made in concrete and steel rather than pencil and paper’ contributed to soaring costs. Public opinion varied from those who thought it was a waste of public money (it was being funded by a government lottery) and those who felt it was Sydney’s moment to launch itself on the world stage.

In this environment, Utzon and the engineering team were separately trying to solve the puzzle of creating structurally sound shells.

Costs for the opera house soared during construction. Image: Sydney Opera House

“They had to find a way to do a raised structure that would support the shell covering,” says Croker. “There was a long period of examining a lot of the geometrics to try to get a model that would work in an ordered manner. It was only when Utzon came up with the idea where he thought maybe they could be the same curvature. 

“He tested it with a beach ball in the bath and then he went to his father’s workshop and worked it out. There was a lot of testing and then there was a bit of a Eureka moment from Utzon that solved it and that made prefabrication much easier.”

While there were claims that Utzon was difficult and uncompromising, Nørskov Eriksen says he was integral in drawing others into his vision for the building.

“When Utzon spoke about the idea sitting behind this drawing, he got the whole office involved in solving the construction of the building because it was so objectively beautiful,” she says. 

Disputes over design changes and budgetary concerns eventually lead to Utzon leaving the project, and Australia, after nine years. 

Protests followed and local architect Peter Hall was charged with completing the opera house, with many in the architectural fraternity considering the design compromised. Croker says Peter Hall’s contribution was significant.

“With my involvement, I came to understand the role that Peter Hall had in it,” he says. “He tried his utmost to complete Utzon’s vision — and he did it so beautifully in so many ways.”

Birthday celebrations

With upgrades to the Concert Hall and Joan Sutherland Theatre to improve acoustics, lighting and rehearsal options now complete, the stage is set for the Sydney Opera House to continue its position as Australia’s premier performing arts space for the next half century.

For Croker, who watched the building being constructed as a young architecture student and someone with a lifelong love of the performing arts, it’s more than just a focal point in the harbour.

“I have a passion for performing arts, and these things have a capacity to elevate you and think about higher ideas and bring complex issues to the world. The building did that for me.”

“It’s a wonderful building and it is a huge gift that has been given to us by Utzon and Peter Hall and (engineer Ove) Arup and we should look after it and enjoy it.”

The commitment to upgrades and maintenance have set the building up well to perform its many and varied roles for the next 50 years, says Matarese.

“It’s an incredibly hardworking building,” she says. “It’s a world heritage site but it’s also a living, breathing, functional art centre. 

“It’s not just a monument or a museum — there’s a lot happening here 24/7.”

Heritage architect Alan Croker has been a fan of the opera house since he saw it being constructed as a student. Credit: Design 5 Architects/Sheridan Burke

And while Australians value the building highly, Nørskov Eriksen says its place in world architecture is also assured.

“It’s the greatest piece of architecture in the world, in my opinion,” she says.

The Utzon Center will be acknowledging the 50th anniversary next year with a permanent exhibition on the Sydney Opera House, which is still Utzon’s best known work internationally.

“We will have a dedicated gallery space for Utzon’s work on it with original models and an exhibition that explains the basic foundation of his approach to architecture,” she says. “The Sydney Opera House is the most important project. We find many of our visitors know the opera house but they don’t know the architecture behind it. It’s a gateway into the rest of Utzon’s work.”

Nørskov Eriksen says in some ways, it’s amazing it was ever built. 

“When I think about what happened in Sydney, the trust the committee put in Utzon, it is one thing to say yes, but the actual public who built it and how people let themselves be persuaded by a beautiful idea — I wish there was more of that.”

Brexit Was Expected to Slash Immigration. Instead It Hit a Record.

LONDON—When the U.K. voted to leave the European Union in 2016, many backers of Brexit hoped the move would cut immigration by ending the right of EU residents to move here freely, a growing trend that some Britons felt was taking jobs away from locals.

Instead, immigration has risen to a record high, as growing numbers of migrants from non-European countries have outstripped a sharp decline in those from the EU. Though the ruling Conservative Party has repeatedly pledged to cut migrant numbers post-Brexit, it has instead let in more in a bid to boost stagnant economic growth.

Data released on Thursday by the Office for National Statistics showed that net migration during 2022 rose by 606,000, the largest increase on record. The figures don’t include migrants who arrived illegally on boats across the English Channel, the number of whom surged 60% last year to a record of about 45,000.

“Numbers are too high, it’s as simple as that, and I want to bring them down,” Prime Minister Rishi Sunak said Thursday.

The U.K. experience illustrates that even if industrialised nations want to curb migration, and take drastic steps to do so, they can come under pressure to allow it to avoid economic damage from labor shortages. In the U.K., the labor force is now smaller than it was pre pandemic, and some industries have complained they can’t find enough workers.

It also underscores the political headache this trade-off presents. Thursday’s immigration numbers elicited criticism among some Conservative Party lawmakers, who said voters wanted this influx brought down. Sunak’s government announced new restrictions this week on how many family members visa-holding students could bring to the country. Polls show that Britons have mixed views on whether migrants are a boon or not, but they put a lot of weight on whether the government is seen to be controlling the flow of people into Britain.

Contributing to the rise was the granting of humanitarian visas to some 300,000 people from Ukraine following the Russian invasion and from Hong Kong amid growing political repression in the former British colony. But it was also fuelled by a sharp rise in visas for students and workers from non-EU countries. About 136,000 visas were granted to students’ families in 2022, an eightfold increase from 2019.

Most economists agreed that Brexit would liberalise trade with the rest of the world but raise trade barriers with the EU, Britain’s largest trade partner, and that the net economic effect would be negative. Most economists also expected that greater migration from the rest of the world wouldn’t be enough to compensate for the decline in European migrants, another net negative, said Jonathan Portes, an economist at King’s College London who tracks immigration.

“We were right about the first part and wrong about the second,” he said. “We were right about the basic economics, but a policy that what we thought would be a modest liberalisation [of migration with the rest of the world] has turned out to be de facto quite a significant liberalisation” he said.

Whether the increase in numbers is part of a longer-term trend is still too early to tell, said Madeleine Sumption, the director of the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford. Many of the students who have arrived in the U.K. will eventually leave and there will likely be less migration from Ukraine and Hong Kong in coming years. That could push down the numbers toward the longer-term average of about 200,000 to 250,000 a year.

Before Brexit, any EU national had the right to settle and work in the U.K. During the referendum, the “Leave” campaign said the U.K. should have more control over who entered the country. After voting to quit the EU, the U.K. government in 2021 introduced a new immigration system that only allowed in people who met certain criteria—such as being paid 26,200 pounds a year, equivalent to $32,400, or having certain levels of qualifications. This system was aimed at avoiding a glut of low-paid workers into the U.K., which had fueled the backlash against immigration, while encouraging companies to invest more in their workforces and increase pay.

In 2022, total long-term immigration, measured as anyone who stays for longer than a year, was estimated at around 1.2 million. Of that total, 925,000 were from non-EU nations.

Even now, as the government has allowed more visas for higher-skilled jobs from doctors to bankers, it has tried to resist letting in lower-skilled workers.

“What they’re not willing to do, by and large, is open up to low-wage jobs, which previously had been done by EU workers,” said Brian Bell, chair of the U.K.’s Migration Advisory Committee, which advises the government. It also meant that EU workers no longer got preferential access to the U.K., vastly increasing the influx from countries such as India.

This new system, however, was implemented just as a worker shortage and high inflation started to take hold during the pandemic. The U.K. is the only major Western economy whose workforce is still smaller than it was pre pandemic, due to a combination of long-term illness, lower immigration from Europe and people taking early retirement. The Bank of England said those shortages have stoked inflation as companies have been forced to increase wages to attract workers, while other companies simply can’t grow because they can’t find enough workers.

What is clear is that illegal migration has an impact on public opinion. The U.K. government has focused on stopping illegal migration, largely in the form of small-boat crossings from France. Sunak has repeatedly pledged to clamp down on this and has signed a deal with France to help bust smuggling rings. The government is also threatening to deport migrants who arrive illegally to the African country of Rwanda. This policy has so far been blocked by the courts.

Celebrities Like Beyoncé and Jay-Z Have a New Obsession: An 81-Year-Old Japanese Architect

These days, the hottest must-have among the super wealthy isn’t an Hermès purse, a designer Doodle dog or even Ozempic.

It is a concrete home designed by an 81-year-old Japanese architect.

Celebrities like Beyoncé, Jay-Z, Kanye West and Kim Kardashian are flocking to homes designed by Tadao Ando, a self-taught, Osaka-based architect. Ando’s homes aren’t just rare, but also affordable only for the very rich: Numbering fewer than 20 in the U.S., they are generally defined by their use of reinforced architectural concrete, which makes construction far more expensive than in typical homes. Clients must also be willing to go to great lengths to bring his vision to life.

In recent years, Ando has developed something of a cult following, with his devotees describing him in ethereal terms: master, poet, genius, icon. They travel to Japan for an audience with the Pritzker Prize winner, and beg him to design their homes.

“It was like working with God,” said Leonard Steinberg, a real-estate agent with Compass in New York, who worked on sales at 152 Elizabeth Street, a boutique condominium designed by Ando in the mid-2010s. “There was definitely a sense that we were dealing with an iconic figure of our time.”

A recent string of mega deals has brought Ando’s work into the spotlight and dramatically driven up prices for his homes, according to industry insiders. Most recently, Beyoncé and Jay-Z paid about $200 million for an oceanfront Ando-designed mansion in Malibu, Calif., according to people familiar with the sale. The blufftop house, measuring about 42,000 square feet, was designed by Ando for prominent art collectors Bill and Maria Bell, who spent a dozen years constructing what Maria Bell said is a “sculpture as much as it is a building.” The deal, which closed May 22, set a record for the highest price ever paid for a home in California. Jay-Z and Beyoncé didn’t respond to requests for comment.

 Japanese architect Tadao Ando posing at the National Art Center in Tokyo. (Photo by KAZUHIRO NOGI/AFP via Getty Images)

They weren’t the first celebrities to eye the house. West, now known as Ye, was planning on purchasing it for an even higher price last year, before his erratic behaviour and antisemitic comments derailed his earnings, according to people familiar with the situation. West couldn’t be reached for comment.

The purchase would have been West’s second Ando home. In 2021, the rapper purchased a $57.25 million Ando property on the beach in Malibu from former Wall Street heavyweight Richard Sachs.

That same year, Slack co-founder Stewart Butterfield and his wife, Away co-founder Jen Rubio, paid roughly $40 million to buy an elaborate Ando-designed ranch near Santa Fe, N.M., from designer Tom Ford. Known as the Cerro Pelon Ranch, the roughly 20,000-acre property has a house perched on an enormous reflecting pool.

West’s former wife, the reality star and entrepreneur Kim Kardashian, posted on Instagram about working with Ando on a home near Palm Desert, Calif. In 2019, the Skims co-founder paid $6.3 million for roughly 1.8 acres of land in the Madison Club in La Quinta, according to property records, and has since applied for a building permit for a new house with a pool and spa. Kardashian recently visited Ando’s office in Japan to make finishing touches to the design before breaking ground, she wrote in an April post.

“Met with the master himself, Tadao Ando to review and discuss a dream project we have been working on for the past two years,” she said, posting photos of the two of them in his office, with drawings of the spaceship-shaped house on a table between them. Kardashian declined to comment.

Ando’s office didn’t respond to requests for comment.

Born in Osaka in 1941, Ando had a brief stint as a boxer before turning to architecture. Largely self-taught, he opened his eponymous firm in 1969, according to the firm’s website. While early works included tiny homes in Japan, Ando became famous for cultural institutions like the Church of the Light in Osaka, which opened in 1989, and the Pulitzer Arts Foundation in St. Louis, which opened in 2001. He won the Pritzker Prize in 1995.

“For us in architecture, Ando has been one of the truly biggest names for a long time now,” said Seng Kuan, an architecture professor at Harvard University and the University of Tokyo. Architecture has become a luxury item collected by 1% of the 1%, Kuan said, noting that a “rarefied subset of architectural masterpieces…are being collected as works of art.” Ando is among the handful of living architects whose work falls into that category, he said.

Sometimes described as Brutalist, Ando’s homes are typically hulking, sparse structures with smooth edges, water features and windows that frame the views. Admirers say they evoke an almost spiritual, Zen-like experience in their simplicity, while others say the concrete is too hard and cold to be liveable.

Due to the higher costs of concrete construction, Ando’s clients typically pay multiples of the usual price of construction to build the homes he has designed. Moreover, Ando doesn’t simply design the home and then hand over the plans, clients said: He is involved in every step of the process, down to the landscaping and even furnishings.

“You don’t just get a sketch and build it,” Steinberg said. “You have to build it his way.”

Ando clients are more art patrons than homeowners, and the resulting home becomes “an art form that you inhabit,” said architect Leo Marmol, who has worked on two Ando projects.

“It is about pushing design ideals to a level that is not normal,” he said. “The client has to be willing to embrace that, and look at the relationship with Mr. Ando as working with a true master.”

Marmol sees the recent spate of mega sales as evidence of Hollywood’s longstanding relationship with significant architecture, which he said is “a way to publicly make a statement about your celebrity status.”

Not everyone embraces Ando’s aesthetic. When it came to marketing the seven condos at 152 Elizabeth, the sales team worked with an interior designer to soften the look with more textured touches, lighting and wood accents, in order to appeal to a wider audience. “It had to be warmed up,” Steinberg said. Still, Ando had to sign off on the interiors, or “we would have gone to Ando jail,” he said with a laugh. The building sold out after about four years of sales, property records show.

Ando’s brand of concrete construction is challenging, Marmol said, especially in California, where construction must meet guidelines for earthquakes. Building on the sand in Malibu is especially tricky, he said.

“The salt and the corrosive nature of the air isn’t friendly to metal, which is a major structural component in concrete,” he said. “The rebar has to be specially treated and handled in such a way that the corrosion can’t impact it.”

Marmol estimated that building with concrete to Ando’s specifications costs two to three times more than traditional high-end home construction.

Amit Khurana of Sumaida + Khurana, which developed 152 Elizabeth, said they tested each truckload of concrete for quality control, and turned away more trucks than they accepted. “There was a specialist on site who would sift through the concrete with his bare hands,” he said.

Sachs, a longtime Ando devotee, told The Wall Street Journal in 2020 that his Malibu home took seven years to build. Construction required about 1,200 tons of concrete, 200 tons of steel reinforcement and 12 massive pylons driven more than 60 feet into the sand. “This isn’t just a house. This is like a Picasso cubist painting, very important and very rare,” Sachs said at the time.

Ando is known to have rejected prospective clients, despite their hefty budgets. “A considerable range of people come to my firm to request my design services,” he was quoted as saying in the book “Tadao Ando: Living with Light” by Philip Jodidio. “My decision to accept their projects depends mainly on their personality and aura.”

In other words, “a billionaire could come in the door tomorrow and offer him a billion dollars to design his house, and that wouldn’t motivate him,” said L.A. real-estate agent and developer Tyrone McKillen, who has worked with Ando. “It has to be close to his heart for him to work with you.”

To convince Ando to design 152 Elizabeth, Khurana said, he showed one of Ando’s associates the site on a rainy night in New York, and then flew to Osaka the following week to meet the architect himself. He brought Ando a gift—a book about Muhammad Ali—and once Ando sketched an idea for the New York condo, Khurana said he refused to leave the office without a commitment to move forward.

Many of Ando’s clients are art collectors, said Kuan, noting that concrete is neutral enough to complement modern art.

Two such collectors are Bill and Maria Bell, the sellers of the Malibu home purchased by Beyoncé and Jay-Z. The Bells paid $14.5 million in 2003 for a roughly 8-acre parcel of land in Malibu, according to records. They had been admirers of Ando’s work for years before they hired him to build a house on the site, Maria Bell said. “[The site] had this incredible feng shui, if one believes in that,” she said. “It spoke to Mr. Ando.”

She said the architect visited Malibu and they traveled to Osaka, where he presented them with the design.

“Certainly we asked ourselves, would we really be capable of going there and living in an Ando home?” she said. On top of laborious construction, “it’s also a daunting idea to live in something that can seem to many people like a Brutalist structure.”

But they were reassured once they met with Ando, she said, when it became clear his vision for the site was “exactly right.”

The six-bedroom house took 12 years to build and is supported by concrete piles and footing, said Kulapat Yantrasast, the project architect on the home. Ando also designed many pieces of furniture for the home—minimalist wood dining tables, beds and chairs—that will remain in the house, Maria Bell said.

Now that the home is completed, the minimalist materials and use of light create a calm and quiet vibe, Maria Bell said. The windows frame vistas to create a connection with nature, as does a reflecting pond that visually links the house to the horizon. “On grey days, the concrete seems more grey and Zen,” she said. “On blue sky days, it’s dazzling and spectacular.”

She declined to comment on the sale of the home, but said over the years, “the people that have responded to the house have been artists, whether visual or performing. I think that really Ando is also an artist as well as an architect.”

Joey and Ragnar Horn, who both work in finance, jumped at the chance to buy a pied-à-terre at 152 Elizabeth in New York in 2015, Joey Horn said. The couple, who live in London, were living in Oslo at the time.

Joey Horn said she had been a fan of Ando’s since she was a graduate student in the 1990s. During a visit to New York, she stumbled upon the Elizabeth Street site, which is one of only a few condo projects Ando has done. “I called my husband and said, ‘We have to buy an apartment in this building. [Ando] doesn’t do residential buildings—this is probably the only chance we have,’” she said.

The couple paid $14.65 million for the fifth-floor unit, records show. The living room has concrete columns and floor-to-ceiling windows.

A few years ago, the Horns also purchased a house in Williamstown, Mass., near their alma mater, Williams College. The house is across the street from the Clark Art Institute building Ando designed in 2014, she said. The couple was briefly in touch with Ando’s office about building a house on the site. The next step was to go to Japan to meet with him, but life got in the way. Joey Horn said the timing was wrong and “then the trail went cold.” She said they are acutely aware that Ando is 81 and time is limited. “Our dream is still to have Ando do something there,” she said. “We haven’t given up.”

Homeowners who have invested in building or buying Andos have been rewarded financially. Tom Ford’s ranch garnered interest from buyers around the world who wouldn’t normally have eyed a home in Santa Fe, said listing agent Kevin Bobolsky.

“Tadao Ando put Santa Fe on the map internationally in a big way,” he said.

Long after the property has been sold, Bobolsky said he still hears from interested parties.

“At least once a month, I get some billionaire that’s looking to lease it for an event,” he said.

McKillen, one of the agents who worked on the Malibu sale to West in 2021, said he and his colleagues got “laughed at” when they put a $75 million price tag on the property, but ultimately felt vindicated by the final deal. The final sales price clocked in at more than $14,000 a square foot, one of highest sums ever paid in the country by that measure.

McKillen said he attributed much of that value to Ando’s association with the house.

“Obviously, being on the Pacific Ocean has an impact, but the real value was in it being an Ando design,” he said. “There are lots of properties that sell on the ocean for $4,000 or $5,000 a foot. We got three times that.”

Shining Stars: The Best Floor Lamps For A Well-Lit Space

It’s that time of year when getting off the lounge seems like way too much effort. Instead, a comfortable chair, a good book and a warm beverage beckon. Making sure your living space works, whether you’re looking to create zones within an open plan, or you want to read without straining your eyes, depends on your choice of lighting. As well as being up to the task to create mood and function, these floor lamps make a style statement. We’ve selected the best, from classic designs to timeless contemporary to ensure your living areas are inviting, as well as inspiring.

 

Tote Standing Lamp

Tote Floor Lamp - Tide Design - Tide Design - Handmade Furniture

The classic shapes of the Tote standing lamp by Tide Design have been given a clean, contemporary feel with the added warmth of natural timber. It’s the perfect shape for those who love tradition with a side of biophilic design. Available in three timbers, from $1,430 from Workshopped.

 

Foscarini Twiggy floor lamp

Twiggy Floor Lamp White by Marc Sadler for Foscarini | Replica Lights

Made from coated fibreglass , coated metal and aluminium, the impossibly flexible Foscarini Twiggy floor lamp is ideal over lounges and cosy corners. From a design perspective, it breaks up strong lineal shapes associated with modular sofas. Plus, it creates pools of light perfect for zoning, $2,885 from Space.

 

Cliff 02 Lamp

Cliff 02 Lambert&Fils Floor Lamp - Milia Shop

The tripod base of the brass and black matte Cliff 02 lamp from the Lambert & Fils workshop adds extra stability with a contemporary edge. A study in minimalism, the brass finishes deliver a jewel-like finish to the supporting rods, $4,380 from Living Edge.

 

Copenhagen SC14 Lamp

Copenhagen SC14 Floor Lamp – Cult - Design First

Perfect for creating visual warmth on cold nights, the Copenhagen SC14 lamp by &Tradition emits a soft ambient light with the control of a dimmer option and opal glass shade, $2,448 from Cult.

 

Tonone Bolt 2 Arm Floor Lamp

This lamp is right at home in any room in the house, from the living room to the kids’ bedrooms. Adjustable at two points to allow a change of height, as well as direction, it has a steel base and rods with an aluminium shade. It’s also available in a range of colours suitable for contemporary or traditional interiors, $1100 from Mondopiero.

Alma Lamp

Visual Comfort Kelly Wearstler Alma Floor Lamp — Oscar and Mila

US designer Kelly Wearstler’s stunning Alma lamp has the solidity of a white marble base and the allure of an antique burnished brass base. The cylindrical head of the pharmacy floor lamp can rotate 20 degrees left or right to best direct light, $2,079 from Montauk Lighting.

 

What light is best for living room lamps?

Lamps are an ideal way to create a sense of warmth in your living room but it’s critical to choose the right light bulbs to avoid your spaces looking like a convenience store. The colour temperature of lights are measured in Kelvins, with 2700k-3000k considered warm and 4000k-5000k considered cool light.

 

How much should you spend on a floor lamp?

The good news is floor lamps are available at a wide range of price points. Like most furniture, however, you get what you pay for. Prices for a reasonably good floor lamp start from $200 up to $5000 or more. Ensure it has at least a 12-month warranty.

 

What type of floor lamp gives off the most light?

This will depend on the type of lightbulb you use, as well as the style of lamp shade. Light intensity is measured in lumens and watts. A standard 40w lightbulb emits 450 lumens, while a 60w bulb emits 800 lumens. LED (light emitting diodes) lights output the most light in the most energy efficient way. A wider lampshade design will allow the light to extend its reach.

 

 

As demand outstrips supply pressure mounts on housing prices

Not that long ago, Australia was in the midst of the fastest drop in housing values on record, as rapidly increasing interest rates caused capital city values to plunge more than 9 percent in the space of about 10 months. 

That’s all changed since hitting a low in February, with three consecutive months of positive growth in housing values due to a significant imbalance between supply and demand. So, less than a week out from winter, what’s the outlook for Australia’s property market? 

Resilience: Competition is rife 

There’s not a lot of competition in the market for vendors currently with decade-low listing numbers. It’s one of the reasons selling conditions have strengthened, as evidenced by above average clearance rates, faster selling time and less negotiation. For context, the total number of homes listed for sale nationally is tracking 28 percent below usual. When listing volumes are very low, selling conditions strengthen, which means potential vendors thinking about selling may well be tempted to list now rather than waiting until the traditional spring period, when activity surges and there’s a spike in competition to sell. 

Rising prices: Sustainable or not? 

Home values for the four largest capital cities all recorded an increase in housing values from the lows recorded in February. A mid-month update based on CoreLogic Australia’s daily Home Value Index showed the upswing gathering momentum, especially in cities such as Brisbane where the index is up 1.0% over the past four weeks. Sydney however is still leading the charge. Considering housing affordability measures remain stretched such a strong rate of growth is surprising and probably unsustainable. Clearance rates: Low supply vs high demand 

Auction clearance rates have been holding at 70% or higher in recent weeks and volumes are slowly on the rise at a time when they would traditionally start to drift lower. Coupled with the upwards pressure on housing values these signs suggest, if anything, the market is gathering momentum rather than slowing down. The stronger clearance rates along with other vendor metrics like faster selling times for private treaty sales and reduced discounting rates, indicate sellers are getting a little bit more leverage back. 

Buyer motivation: Urgency and FOMO on the rise 

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) or buyer concern about being left behind was at its peak when the market was in full flight in 2021. While the trend is not back, yet, it does appear that some buyer demographics are highly motivated to get into the market. If the trend for low advertised stock 

levels, rising clearance rates and higher values continues, it would not be surprising to see FOMO becoming more pervasive. As demand picks up against strong overseas migration and extremely tight rental markets, there’s likely to be some renters who try to fast track their purchasing decisions as well. The pool of available properties they’re competing for is the smallest it’s been in more than 10 years. A sense of urgency will likely play a part in some decision making over winter. 

Challenges: Interest rates and market sentiment 

Demonstrating an ability to service a loan is going to be one of the biggest hurdles that prospective buyers will face this year. Interest rates are high, but assessment levels are three percentage points higher again. However, qualifying for the loan is only one challenge. We can’t ignore low consumer sentiment levels, which will also be having some dampening effect on the market’s current exuberance and we shouldn’t expect to see a material lift in property activity until there’s an improvement in consumer confidence more broadly. 

Wavering confidence: Economic uncertainty 

If the RBA were to cut interest rates there is a good chance we would see a lift in consumer spirits, accompanied by a substantial pick up in both buyer and selling activity. Logically, lower interest rates would be the catalyst for a further uptick in housing values. Of course, we’re not expecting a rate cut anytime soon and there’s speculation that rates may even rise a little bit further this year. Economists are split on their forecasts with predictions for further rate hikes, some stability and some cuts later this year. All of this is likely to be adding to uncertainty and low consumer confidence levels, however any reduction in rates will likely be the cue for more buyers and sellers to become active again. 

Homeowner resilience: Mortgage repayments remain steady 

We would be naive to think there isn’t going to be a rise in motivated selling or increase in mortgage arrears in the short to medium-term. However, coming off record low rates, most banks were reporting 90-day arrears rates of around 0.5% to 0.6% at the end of 2022. That benchmark is set to increase, however most homeowners or borrowers will do their best to pull back sharply on discretionary spending before missing mortgage repayments or selling their home. 

After winter, what’s next? 

Spring 2023 is going to be interesting. Historically, it’s the season for new listings and sales transactions, but that activity didn’t materialise for spring last year. There’s possibly some accrued supply building up from people who have been thinking about selling but holding back, and if the market remains relatively buoyant we could see a very active spring this season. A material increase in advertised supply could dampen values and clearance rates as more homes come on the market. 

Tim Lawless is Research Director at CoreLogic Asia Pacific

It Just Had an Energy Crisis, Now Europe Faces a Food Shock

LONDON—Fresh out of an energy crisis, Europeans are facing a food-price explosion that is changing diets and forcing consumers across the region to tighten their belts—literally.

This is happening even though inflation as a whole is falling thanks to lower energy prices, presenting a new policy challenge for governments that deployed billions in aid last year to keep businesses and households afloat through the worst energy crisis in decades.

New data on Wednesday showed inflation in the U.K. fell sharply in April as energy prices cooled, following a similar pattern around Europe and in the U.S. But food prices were 19.3% higher than a year earlier.

The continued surge in food prices has caught central bankers off guard and pressured governments that are still reeling from the cost of last year’s emergency support to come to the rescue. And it is pressuring household budgets that are also under strain from rising borrowing costs.

In France, households have cut their food purchases by more than 10% since the invasion of Ukraine, while their purchases of energy have fallen by 4.8%.

In Germany, sales of food fell 1.1% in March from the previous month, and were down 10.3% from a year earlier, the largest drop since records began in 1994. According to the Federal Information Centre for Agriculture, meat consumption was lower in 2022 than at any time since records began in 1989, although it said that might partly reflect a continuing shift toward more plant-based diets.

Food retailers’ profit margins have contracted because they can’t pass on the entire price increases from their suppliers to their customers. Markus Mosa, chief executive of the Edeka supermarket chain, told German media that the company had stopped ordering products from several large suppliers because of rocketing prices.

A survey by the U.K.’s statistics agency earlier this month found that almost three-fifths of the poorest 20% of households were cutting back on food purchases.

“This is an access problem,” said Ludovic Subran, chief economist at insurer Allianz, who previously worked at the United Nations World Food Program. “Total food production has not plummeted. This is an entitlement crisis.”

Food accounts for a much larger share of consumer spending than energy, so a smaller rise in prices has a greater impact on budgets. The U.K.’s Resolution Foundation estimates that by the summer, the cumulative rise in food bills since 2020 will have amounted to 28 billion pounds, equivalent to $34.76 billion, outstripping the rise in energy bills, estimated at £25 billion.

“The cost of living crisis isn’t ending, it is just entering a new phase,” Torsten Bell, the research group’s chief executive, wrote in a recent report.

Food isn’t the only driver of inflation. In the U.K., the core rate of inflation—which excludes food and energy—rose to 6.8% in April from 6.2% in March, its highest level since 1992. Core inflation was close to its record high in the eurozone during the same month.

Still, Bank of England Gov. Andrew Bailey told lawmakers Tuesday that food prices now constitute a “fourth shock” to inflation after the bottlenecks that jammed supply chains during the Covid-19 pandemic, the rise in energy prices that accompanied Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and surprisingly tight labor markets.

Europe’s governments spent heavily on supporting households as energy prices soared. Now they have less room to borrow given the surge in debt since the pandemic struck in 2020.

Some governments—including those of Italy, Spain and Portugal—have cut sales taxes on food products to ease the burden on consumers. Others are leaning on food retailers to keep their prices in check. In March, the French government negotiated an agreement with leading retailers to refrain from price rises if it is possible to do so.

Retailers have also come under scrutiny in Ireland and a number of other European countries. In the U.K., lawmakers have launched an investigation into the entire food supply chain “from farm to fork.”

“Yesterday I had the food producers into Downing Street, and we’ve also been talking to the supermarkets, to the farmers, looking at every element of the supply chain and what we can do to pass on some of the reduction in costs that are coming through to consumers as fast as possible,” U.K. Treasury Chief Jeremy Hunt said during The Wall Street Journal’s CEO Council Summit in London.

The government’s Competition and Markets Authority last week said it would take a closer look at retailers.

“Given ongoing concerns about high prices, we are stepping up our work in the grocery sector to help ensure competition is working well,” said Sarah Cardell, who heads the CMA.

Some economists expect that added scrutiny to yield concrete results, assuming retailers won’t want to tarnish their image and will lean on their suppliers to keep prices down.

“With supermarkets now more heavily under the political spotlight, we think it more likely that price momentum in the food basket slows,” said Sanjay Raja, an economist at Deutsche Bank.

It isn’t entirely clear why food prices have risen so fast for so long. In world commodity markets, which set the prices received by farmers, food prices have been falling since April 2022. But raw commodity costs are just one part of the final price. Consumers are also paying for processing, packaging, transport and distribution, and the size of the gap between the farm and the dining table is unusually wide.

The BOE’s Bailey thinks one reason for the bank having misjudged food prices is that food producers entered into longer-term but relatively expensive contracts with fertilizer, energy and other suppliers around the time of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in their eagerness to guarantee availability at a time of uncertainty.

But as the pressures being placed on retailers suggest, some policy makers suspect that an increase in profit margins may also have played a role. Speaking to lawmakers, Bailey was wary of placing any blame on food suppliers.

“It’s a story about rebuilding margins that were squeezed in the early part of last year,” he said.

Face It, That $6,000 Vacation Isn’t Worth It Right Now

Capri Coffer socks away $600 a month to help fund her travels. The Atlanta health-insurance account executive and her husband couldn’t justify a family vacation to the Dominican Republic this summer, though, given what she calls “astronomical” plane ticket prices of $800 each.

The price was too high for younger family members, even with Coffer defraying some of the costs.

Instead, the family of six will pile into a rented minivan come August and drive to Hilton Head Island, S.C., where Coffer booked a beach house for $650 a night. Her budget excluding food for the two-night trip is about $1,600, compared with the $6,000 price she was quoted for a three-night trip to Punta Cana.

“That way, everyone can still be together and we can still have that family time,” she says.

With hotel prices and airfares stubbornly high as the 2023 travel rush continues—and overall inflation squeezing household budgets—this summer is shaping up as the season of travel trade-offs for many of us.

Average daily hotel rates in the top 25 U.S. markets topped $180 year-to-date through April, increasing 9.9% from a year ago and 15.6% from 2019, according to hospitality-data firm STR.

Online travel sites report more steep increases for summer ticket prices, with Kayak pegging the increase at 35% based on traveler searches. (Perhaps there is no more solid evidence of higher ticket prices than airline executives’ repeated gushing about strong demand, which gives them pricing power.)

The high prices and economic concerns don’t mean we’ll all be bunking in hostels and flying Spirit Airlines with no luggage. Travellers who aren’t going all-out are compromising in a variety of ways to keep the summer vacation tradition alive, travel agents and analysts say.

“They’re still out there and traveling despite some pretty real economic headwinds,” says Mike Daher, Deloitte’s U.S. transportation, hospitality and services leader. “They’re just being more creative in how they spend their limited dollars.”

For some, that means a cheaper hotel. Hotels.com says global search interest in three-star hotels is up more than 20% globally. Booking app HotelTonight says nearly one in three bookings in the first quarter were for “basic” hotels, compared with 27% in the same period in 2019.

For other travellers, the trade-offs include a shorter trip, a different destination, passing on premium seat upgrades on full-service airlines or switching to no-frills airlines. Budget-airline executives have said on earnings calls that they see evidence of travellers trading down.

Deloitte’s 2023 summer travel survey, released Tuesday, found that average spending on “marquee” trips this year is expected to decline to $2,930 from $3,320 a year ago. Tighter budgets are a factor, he says.

Too much demand

Wendy Marley is no economics teacher, but says she’s spent a lot of time this year refreshing clients on the basics of supply and demand.

The AAA travel adviser, who works in the Boston area, says the lesson comes up every time a traveler with a set budget requests help planning a dreamy summer vacation in Europe.

“They’re just having complete sticker shock,” she says.

Marley has become a pro at Plan B destinations for this summer.

For one client celebrating a 25th wedding anniversary with a budget of $10,000 to $12,000 for a five-star June trip, she switched their attention from the pricey French Riviera or Amalfi Coast to a luxury resort on the Caribbean island of St. Barts.

To Yellowstone fans dismayed at ticket prices into Jackson, Wyo., and three-star lodges going for six-star prices, she recommends other national parks within driving distance of Massachusetts, including Acadia National Park in Maine.

For clients who love the all-inclusive nature of cruising but don’t want to shell out for plane tickets to Florida, she’s been booking cruises out of New York and New Jersey.

Not all of Marley’s clients are tweaking their plans this summer.

Michael McParland, a 78-year-old consultant in Needham, Mass., and his wife are treating their family to a luxury three-week Ireland getaway. They are flying business class on Aer Lingus and touring with Adventures by Disney. They initially booked the trip for 2020, so nothing was going to stand in the way this year.

McParland is most excited to take his teen grandsons up the mountain in Northern Ireland where his father tended sheep.

“We decided a number of years ago to give our grandsons memories,” he says. “Money is money. They don’t remember you for that.”

Fare first, then destination

Chima Enwere, a 28-year old piano teacher in Fayetteville, N.C., is also headed to the U.K., but not by design.

Enwere, who fell in love with Europe on trips the past few years, let airline ticket prices dictate his destination this summer to save money.

He was having a hard time finding reasonable flights out of Raleigh-Durham, N.C., so he asked for ideas in a Facebook travel group. One traveler found a round-trip flight on Delta to Scotland for $900 in late July with reasonable connections.

He was budgeting $1,500 for the entire trip—he stays in hostels to save money—but says he will have to spend more given the pricier-than-expected plane ticket.

“I saw that it was less than four digits and I just immediately booked it without even asking questions,” he says.

The designer’s Mind: Delving into the Best Interior Design Books

There’s no shortage of design inspiration online but nothing beats the joy of spending an afternoon immersing yourself in a good interior design book. Edited, carefully curated and, above all, designed, these titles take you behind the scenes of some of the world’s most beautiful interiors in a considered way. Think of it like the difference between listening to a few tunes on Spotify versus releasing a thoughtfully crafted studio album. We’ve assembled our top six of interior design books on the market right now for your viewing and reading pleasure.

1. Interiors beyond the primary palette 

Arent & Pyke: Interiors Beyond the Primary Palette : Arent & Pyke, Arent, Juliette, Pyke, Sarah-Jane: Amazon.com.au: Books

Step inside the world of award-winning interior design duo Juliette Arent and Sarah-Jane Pyke in this, their first compendium of their work. A ‘best of’ over more than 15 years working together, it’s a masterclass in working with colour and pattern as seen through 18 projects from around the country. With a focus on the idea of home as sanctuary, this hefty tome offers insight into the mind of the designer with points on where to find  inspiration, meeting client briefs and the importance of relationships. Thames & Hudson, $120

2 House of Joy

House of Joy - Playful Homes and Cheerful Living - gestalten EU Shop

If there was ever a book title for our times, then this is it. With a subtitle of Playful Homes and Cheerful Living, this book champions fun in interior design, with bold and bright homes from around the world to delight and inspire. While there’s a good dose of the unexpected, like a disco ball in the garden, there’s no mayhem in these spaces. Instead, they’re beautifully executed to tempt even the most colour shy. Gestalten, $105  

3. Abigail Ahern Masterclass

Abigail Ahern's Masterclass :HarperCollins Australia

Some design books are beautiful to look at, and that’s it. This is not one of those books. A master of colour and pattern, UK designer Ahern offers a practical foundational guide to beautiful interiors, mixing form with function in her latest book, Masterclass. Find the inspiration you need to create a gorgeous home. HarperCollins, $65  

4. Interiors Now!

Looking for a visual crash course in international design trends with longevity? This is the book for you. Featuring homes across the globe, from New York to Auckland via Avignon, the biggest dilemma for readers is settling on a style. Many of the projects are owned by designers and creatives, lending a dynamic edge to this tome, now in its 40th year. Taschen, $50

5. Home by the Sea 

Home by the Sea, The Surf Shacks and Hinterland Hideaways of Byron Bay by Natalie Walton | 9781743798256 | Booktopia

For many Australians, the ocean holds an almost hypnotic appeal. Home by the Sea by Natalie Walton lets you imagine, for a little while at least, what it’s like living the dream in a beach shack in Byron Bay. The book tours 18 homes in and around the region and the hinterland owned by artists, designers and makers. With photography by Amelia Fullarton, it champions the good life. Hardie Grant, $60            

6. The Layered Interior

The Layered Interior - Greg Natale

Released last year, this is the third volume from award-winning interior designer Greg Natale. Different in format from his earlier books, the eight projects featured are Australian but with a slight Euro-centric focus. The writing is conversational, almost intimate, inviting the reader into the most luxurious spaces beautifully captured by photographer Anson Smart. This coffee table tome is perfect for dreamers and doers alike. Rizzoli, $110

 

How can I improve my interior design knowledge?

To be an interior designer, most people have completed a bachelor’s degree or advanced diploma. However, anyone can improve their interior design knowledge by listening to or reading about the design process, as well as taking short courses in design from a reputable design school. Look for online tutorials or interior design books that provide step-by-step guides to creating beautiful spaces and follow interior design social media accounts to get you started. If you want to learn more, you can contact industry bodies such as the Design Institute of Australia for next steps.

 

What should I read for interior design?

While interior design is often considered a visual medium, there is a lot to understand about the way spaces flow and the balance of materials required. If you have a casual interest, look for design books that appeal to your personal style, which will offer tips on using colour, pattern and texture. For further information, opt for books explaining the main principles of interior design which will discuss questions of balance, scale and proportion, as well as form and function.

 

Can I teach myself interior design?

In an age where information on most topics is widely available online, yes, you can teach yourself the rudimentaries of interior design. However, a reputable course or degree will provide you with set tasks to test your knowledge and skills before going out into real world experiences. There are several options to qualify as an interior designers, including university and TAFE courses, as well as private colleges.

 

Why Inflation Erupted: Two Top Economists Have the Answer

For two years debate has raged over what caused the highest inflation since the 1980s: government stimulus or pandemic-related disruptions.

Now two of the country’s top economists have an answer: It’s both. Pandemic-related supply shocks explain why inflation shot up in 2021. An economy overheated by fiscal stimulus and low interest rates explain why it has stayed high ever since. The conclusion: For inflation to fade, the economy has to cool off, which means a weaker labour market.

The study, released Tuesday, is by Ben Bernanke, former chair of the Federal Reserve, and Olivier Blanchard, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund. Bernanke is now at the Brookings Institution and Blanchard is at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. The two are among the world’s most cited academic economists.

When Congress passed President Biden’s $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan in early 2021, which included checks to households, enhanced jobless benefits and aid to state and local governments, inflation was around 2% and unemployment, though coming down, still above 6%.

At the time many forecasters thought the stimulus could push demand above the economy’s potential to supply goods and services and unemployment below its long-run natural rate of around 4%. Yet few thought this would meaningfully raise inflation. In previous decades unemployment had remained similarly low without raising price pressures.

A few disagreed, notably former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers and Blanchard. Both warned the stimulus was so large it would push the economy dangerously into overheating territory.

Not the inflation critics expected

Inflation did shoot up, hitting 7% that December, 5.5% excluding food and energy. “The critics’ forecasts of higher inflation would prove to be correct—indeed, even too optimistic—but, in substantial part, the sources of the inflation would prove to be different from those they warned about,” Blanchard, one of those critics, and Bernanke write in their study.

To tease out the sources of inflation, Bernanke and Blanchard build a relatively conventional model in which inflation is a function of, among other things, the gap between the supply and demand for labor, the public’s expectations of inflation, and commodity prices. They include a variable for supply-chain disruptions derived from Google searches for “shortage.”

Usually economists judge labor market tightness from how far unemployment is above or below its natural rate. But this time the labor market heated up before unemployment got that low. So instead, Bernanke and Blanchard use the ratio of job vacancies to unemployed workers. Finally, their model lets all these factors interact, with varying lags.

If stimulus had overheated the economy, it should have shown up in the labor market, i.e., an unusually high ratio of vacancies to unemployed. In fact, labor market conditions put downward pressure on inflation through the third quarter of 2021, the authors concluded. Instead, the inflation that year was driven almost entirely by shortages and energy prices. (To be sure, many shortages reflected restricted supply interacting with demand boosted by stimulus.)

Demand shifted abruptly from services to goods in the early months of the pandemic. The overall effect should have been a wash as prices rose for goods and fell for services. It wasn’t, because goods producers faced supply constraints, which caused costs and prices to spike, while costs to service producers didn’t decline much. “These sectoral mismatches between demand and supply proved more intractable and longer-lasting than many had expected,” the authors note.

The legacy of stimulus

These pandemic disruptions did eventually subside. Why didn’t inflation then fall? The reason, the authors conclude, is that by this point demand was so strong, reflecting the legacy of low interest rates and fiscal largess, the labor market was significantly overheated with the ratio of vacancies to unemployed up dramatically. Moreover, the initial surge of inflation had an echo: It lifted workers’ expectations of short-term inflation, which then partly found its way into their wages.

If anything, the study might understate the effect of pandemic disruptions. The labor market didn’t just overheat because of excess demand, but reduced supply, as well. The rising ratio of vacancies to unemployed, which the model equates with a tighter labor market, reflects employers struggling to fill vacancies. The authors note much of that struggle was because of the pandemic: Firms that had laid off employees had to find new ones, while some workers left the labor force because of family obligations, illness or work-life balance priorities.

This decline in supply-side potential hasn’t gotten much attention in the inflation debate, but its role could be significant. John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, last week estimated that potential was 4.2% lower at the end of 2022 than its pre pandemic trend.

That stimulus wasn’t the inflation culprit it is often made out to be doesn’t entirely absolve the Fed and Biden. Arguably, they should have anticipated supply disruptions would amplify the risks of stoking demand. In 2020 the Fed introduced a new framework and guidance under which interest rates would stay near zero until maximum employment was restored, even if inflation topped its 2% target. That “contributed to delayed action and the inflation overshoot,” former Fed Vice Chair Donald Kohn and Brown University economist Gauti B. Eggertsson say in another paper to be presented Tuesday.

Bernanke and Blanchard conclude that because inflation today reflects a too-hot labor market, the solution is to cool it off. To bring inflation back to the Fed’s target, they estimate unemployment would have to rise above 4.3% from its current 3.4% assuming vacancies remain difficult to fill. But, they say, inflation could drop without a significant increase in unemployment if the ease of hiring returns to pre pandemic norms. The good news: There are tentative signs that is happening.

Future Returns: Impact Investing Firm Expands to the Oceans of Latin America and the Caribbean

The Singapore-based impact investing firm Circulate Capital launched a US$65 million initiative on Tuesday to reduce plastic pollution in Latin America and the Caribbean.

The strategy builds on Circulate Capital’s efforts in South Asia and Southeast Asia to spur the so-called circular economy by investing in companies that turn waste into usable products. Circulate Capital Ocean Fund, which had its first close in 2019, today has US$112 million in assets.

Backing the Latin America and Caribbean initiative are major global corporations, some of which also invested in its previous financing. Among these investors are Paris-based Danone, Michigan-based Dow, and London-based Unilever, companies that depend on sourcing recycled plastic material to meet their own sustainability commitments.

The Inter-American Development Bank Group’s IDB Lab also invested, and, in fact, encouraged Circulate Capital to take its approach to Latin America and the Caribbean, says Rob Kaplan, the firm’s founder.

Wealthy individuals and family offices also have taken an interest in financing the circular-economy approach to the ocean, including Builders Vision, a philanthropic and impact investing platform founded by Lukas Walton—grandson of Walmart founder Sam Walton. Builders Vision has been a longtime supporter of Circulate Capital, which was created in 2018 by Kaplan, a former director of sustainability at Walmart.

After initially learning of Circulate Capital’s approach for reducing plastic waste, Builders Vision realised it needed to back its effort aggressively, says James Lindsay, principal at Builders Vision. Their goal is to make investing in the ocean as popular for investors as investing in clean-tech solutions for the energy transition from fossil fuels.

Ocean health is one of three areas of investing today for Builders Vision, in addition to climate and energy, and food and agriculture, given the critical role oceans play in climate change and the global food supply.

“It’s a major focus and we want everyone to go look at the ocean sector like it’s completely investable, with market rates of return, just like we would with clean tech or sustainable real assets,” Lindsay says. An endowment or foundation may easily be able to include a clean-tech fund in its portfolio, but with “oceans there’s still a lot of hesitancy.”

There are good reasons for that, Lindsay says. One is that there are few companies that have been sold or gone public and thus been able to return money to investors. That’s started to change in the last two years, and Circulate Capital’s investments are part of that story, he says.

Penta recently spoke with Lindsay and Kaplan about Circulate Capital’s latest initiative, and the investing opportunities emerging for cleaning up the ocean.

A ‘Chicken-and-Egg’ Problem

The waste-per-capita ratio in Latin America is one of the highest in the world, and Kaplan says, expectations are that it will increase by at least 25% in the next 30 years. One reason is that more than 40 million people lack access to basic waste collection.

Cleaning up that waste, however, is a “chicken-and-egg problem,” because the waste needs to be collected before it can be recycled, but “why would you collect it if no one’s going to recycle it?” Kaplan says.

Policy developments in Chile and Colombia, however, have begun to create economic opportunities for local recyclers to start up and scale up, he says. Governments in Brazil and Mexico are beginning to consider similar actions. “That is creating a level playing field for these companies to grow much more rapidly,” Kaplan says.

These developments are similar to what Circulate Capital has seen in India, where it has invested in companies such as Mumbai-based Lucro Plastecycle, which recycles flexible plastics into new materials, and Srichakra Polyplast, in Hyderabad, India, which converts old plastic bottles into food-grade quality resins for new plastic bottles.

An Ocean Portfolio

Builders Vision has made 45 investments so far to support oceans, about half with fund managers and accelerators (which fund new entrepreneurs), and another half in direct investments, Lindsay says.

In addition to plastics, Builders invests in aquaculture through, for example, the Yield Lab, an accelerator for entrepreneurs developing sustainable agriculture systems. It also invests in “monitoring, reporting, and verification” technologies that evaluate efforts such as planting mangroves or seagrass to improve the ocean’s ability to absorb carbon, in addition to technologies that filter microplastics and integrate the material into manufacturing processes.

Most of Builders’ ocean investments are in Europe, where there are more ocean-oriented venture funds. That’s because of a European Union initiative to invest in start-up vehicles so they reach a viable size, Lindsay says. Builders’ goal, however, is to invest more with firms such as Circulate Capital that are based closer to the problems they are trying to solve.

“Navigating country risk without having a sense of the landscape is incredibly challenging,” he says. “You’re going to end up deploying some capital pretty poorly.”

Spurring Economic Development

For Circulate Capital, investing in and growing companies that can rethink supply chains for recycling—“from collecting and sorting to processing and manufacturing”—has ancillary benefits.

Not only do these companies contribute to the fight against climate change, they also create jobs and help local economies.

“Across Latin America and the Caribbean there are millions and millions of people whose livelihoods depend on collecting and trading plastic waste,” Kaplan says. “As we develop the supply chains, and help them scale, that creates more economic opportunity for those vulnerable populations—if it’s done in a responsible way, which is a big part of how we invest.”

In Kaplan’s view, the problem of plastic waste and ocean health will only be solved when “we stop thinking about it just as an environmental issue and start thinking about it as an economic development opportunity.”

Companies such as Lucro and Srichakra are beginning to scale, but Kaplan says the plastics problem in South Asia and Southeast Asia alone will still require “many, many billions” of dollars of investment to solve. Part of Circulate Capital’s role is to catalyse capital by proving these investments can work.

The firm’s second ocean fund, for instance, brought in development finance institutions such as the World Bank Group’s International Finance Corp. and the European Investment Bank in addition to family offices and private investors.

“We’re seeing more investors getting interested in the space. We’re seeing these companies successfully hit their targets and their milestones,” Kaplan says. “Those are all positive directions. But there’s still a lot more work to be done before we can say we’re moving the needle.”

How Did Hyundai Get So Cool?

Hyundai Motor was dreaming up an answer to Tesla when the company’s top executive sent its lead designer a photo of a bizarre-looking car that last rolled off assembly lines more than 70 years ago.

The Stout Scarab, manufactured in Michigan in the 1930s and 1940s, looked like an outlandish cross between a bus and a pontoon.

“Let’s face it, 10 years ago, our design strategy was all about the fast follower,” said SangYup Lee, the Hyundai designer. He said Euisun Chung, executive chair of Hyundai and its affiliate Kia, who sent the photo, wanted to stop imitating and get ahead of rivals.

“The message was: Inspiration can come from anywhere,” said Lee.

The Hyundai electric car that drew inspiration from the Scarab’s eye-catching streamline design, the Ioniq 6, has been a hit with critics. At the New York auto show in April, it was voted World Car of the Year.

Hyundai and Kia, the sibling Korean carmakers, have long had a reputation for making inexpensive, uninspiring cars. Over the past few years, though, they have become one of the leaders in the electric-vehicle race, with models that are turning heads at rival car companies—and among car buyers.

Asked last year about competition in the EV sector, Ford Motor Chief Executive Jim Farley said: “The ones I’m paying the most attention to are Hyundai/Kia, the Chinese and Tesla. That’s my list.”

Behind the push has been Chung, 52 years old, who has pressed for investment in EVs and moonshot technologies such as flying cars and robots. In 2020, he took control of the Hyundai Motor Group,one of Korea’s largest family-run conglomerates, from his father, Chung Mong-Koo.

Last year, Hyundai became the world’s third-largest automaking group, with 6.85 million vehicles sold, behind only Toyota Motor and Volkswagen. Now, the company, currently the third-largest seller of EVs in the U.S., is setting its sights on Tesla.

Tesla’s enormous success with its Model 3 showed the industry that the EV market was much bigger than many people thought, spurring Hyundai and Kia to move faster, said Michael O’Brien, a former vice president at Hyundai. “Hyundai leadership realises that the EV market is a jump ball,” he said.

Chung, whose grandfather founded the business 76 years ago, has told employees repeatedly that the company needs to be more forward-leaning. “We will not fear risks and only be reactive,” he told workers in January.

Hyundai and Kia have gone on a hiring spree, luring high-profile designers from other carmakers, including from German luxury brands. Their aim is to make their vehicles look and feel more luxurious.

Ford’s Farley lauded Hyundai’s Ioniq 5, which came out 2021, noting that some software features were better than Ford’s own. “That company has really found their stride with electric vehicles,” he said.

Tesla’s Elon Musk said last summer in a tweet about the EV market: “Hyundai is doing pretty good.”

Hyundai and Kia are a part of a conglomerate that also owns steel mills, shipyards and construction firms. It is largely controlled by Chung’s family through their shareholdings in the motor company and other affiliates.

The company got started in the auto business in 1967, when the country was still recovering from the Korean War, at first doing contract work for Ford. Its first in-house vehicles, the Pony and Excel, were inexpensive and so prone to quality problems that they became fodder for comedians on late-night TV.

Kia began in 1944 as a manufacturer of metal parts and bicycles, and a decade later, licensed versions of Honda motorcycles and Mazda trucks and cars. After it declared bankruptcy in 1997, Hyundai purchased a controlling stake. It now owns nearly 34%.

Hyundai entered the U.S. car market in 1986, followed by Kia in 1993. Both were budget brands. When Chung’s father took over in 1996, he made solving quality woes a priority, overhauling manufacturing operations.

Decisions were made mostly by executives in Seoul, far from the U.S. market that was driving the bulk of profits, former executives said. “Hyundai was always known in Korea as the most conservative and the most militarylike,” said Frank Ahrens, Hyundai’s former head of communications. He likened directives from the chairman to imperial decrees. “If you want a pyramid, that’s a way to do it—get a whole bunch of people pushing in the right direction,” he said.

Both Hyundai and Kia were slow to react to the SUV boom in the U.S., despite pleas from stateside executives, the former executives said. For years, they didn’t do much to expand their U.S. factories, leaving them struggling to build enough vehicles when demand surged for popular models such as the Hyundai Santa Fe and Tucson.

Another embarrassment was a surge in auto thefts following a social-media challenge that targeted certain Hyundai and Kia models as easy to steal. Several states and insurers have sued the companies over the thefts. On Thursday, Hyundai and Kia agreed to pay up to $200 million to owners of stolen cars to settle a class-action lawsuit.

When the Korean leadership takes notice, though, decisions are fast-tracked and change can come swiftly, former executives said. “They’ll throw a new engine in whenever the engine is ready,” said JP Garvey, a Hyundai and Kia dealer in New York. “They constantly make tiny incremental changes, and they don’t stop.”

At the New York auto show in April, Hyundai’s luxury brand, Genesis, showed off a sportier version of its new GV80 SUV. The vehicle was a concept car—not one Genesis intended to make.

It was such a hit that the bosses in Korea decided that night to put it into production, said José Muñoz, Hyundai’s president and chief operating officer, whom Chung hired from Nissan Motor in 2019. “There are no arguments,” Muñoz said. “Once the decision is made, execution is very fast.”

Chung has installed overseas executives in key management positions. He hired designer Peter Schreyer from Volkswagen, where he had helped redesign the iconic Beetle, then promoted him to president, the first non-Korean to reach that level in Hyundai’s history.

“The chairman wanted something new, and the focus was on good styling,” said Ray Ng, a former Kia designer who worked closely with Schreyer.

Chung’s biggest push has been with EVs, a sector Hyundai and Kia entered in 2010 when Hyundai released the Blueon in Korea. Kia followed with the Ray EV in 2011. A second model, an electric Kia Soul, went on sale in the U.S., Europe and South Korea in 2014, two years before General Motors released its rival Chevy Bolt.

The EV market presents unique challenges. Nearly all Hyundai and Kia EVs are built outside the U.S. Recent revisions to the $7,500 federal tax credit in the U.S. for EV purchases have made foreign-built EVs ineligible for the subsidy. Sales in the U.S. of Hyundai and Kia EVs have been declining since the tax revisions.

A new $5.5 billion factory complex is in the works for both Hyundai and Kia to build EVs in Georgia, but it won’t open until the end of next year, at the earliest.

Tesla’s success with the Model 3, which came to market in 2017, opened eyes at Hyundai, said O’Brien, the former vice president. “Everyone saw they went from a niche player to a core player in one model,” he said. “People in Korea, and Hyundai, saw Tesla as a tech company rather than a car company. Rather than focusing on four wheels, oil and brakes, they were focused on technology, and that was very appealing in Korea.”

While other automakers dithered about whether the batteries were too expensive and short on range, Chung was undeterred, O’Brien said.

After Chung became executive chairman in 2020, Hyundai and Kia announced plans to introduce 31 battery-powered models. The companies aim to become the third-largest seller of EVs globally by 2030. Tesla and China’s BYD are the current global leaders.

That the Hyundai Ioniq 6 took inspiration from the Stout Scarab is one example of how the company is leaning on design to set it apart from rivals. Lee, the designer, said the streamlined shape recalls the period in the 1930s and 1940s when car design borrowed from the aerospace industry.

The design has the added benefit of tacking on miles to the car’s range, giving it one of the lowest drag coefficients in the industry—a measure of how aerodynamic a shape is.

When interest in EVs surged during the pandemic, Hyundai and Kia were among the few car companies that had a selection of electric and hybrid models on dealership lots. On top of that, the companies had stockpiled semiconductors, allowing them to avoid the worst of the supply-chain related shutdowns in recent years, giving them more stock to sell, dealers said.

Hyundai and Kia have said that most of their EV customers are coming to the brand for the first time. They also tend to be wealthier than customers of the companies’ other models. Last year, the biggest cohort of Hyundai Ioniq 5 and Kia EV6 buyers earned more than $250,000 a year, compared with between $50,000 and $75,000 for all models, according to data from S&P Global Mobility.

Andrew Mancall, a doctor from Portland, Maine, is among the Hyundai converts. A former Audi owner, he wanted to buy an EV for his next car and put himself on a number of waiting lists, including for the Ford Mustang Mach-E.

When his number came up for the Mach-E, he passed on it and bought the Hyundai Ioniq 5. He said he was sold on the driving dynamics and what he described as better technology than on the Ford. After a nine-month wait, he took delivery of his Hyundai.

“Am I a Hyundai person? A couple years ago, I probably would have said no,” he said. “I guess the answer now is, yes.”

—Mike Colias contributed to this article.

Your Next Big Move Should Scare You

Melissa Ben-Ishay was scared when she walked into the first commercial kitchen for baking her cupcakes. She was scared when a publisher proposed she write a cookbook. And she was terrified when the board of Baked by Melissa, the company that bears her name but had long been run by more-experienced executives, offered her the CEO role in 2019.

“It was nauseating and emotional, like in my throat,” she says. She put the “Rocky” theme on her headphones. She considered her blind spots, like her lack of finance knowledge. But she didn’t say no.

“That’s just not an option,” she says. “You have to do the things that are scary.”

Big moments and decisions in our lives can make our stomachs drop. Moving somewhere new, getting married, starting a family—if we’re sizing them up realistically, maybe we should be nervous. (Newborns are exhausting; being a manager is hard.) More than half of workers in a recent poll ranked starting a new job as scarier than skydiving or holding a snake.

Just trust your gut, everyone implores when you’re staring down a new opportunity. It takes effort to distinguish between normal jitters and the kind of fear that’s a real warning sign, though. And it’s more work still to convince yourself to just do it, even if you’re doing it scared.

First, take a breath, advises Luana Marques, an associate professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School and the author of a coming book about harnessing anxiety. Calm your nerves by meditating, taking a walk or talking to a friend. Then, with clearer eyes, ask yourself: If I said yes, would taking on the discomfort of a new thing get me closer to where I want to be in my career or relationships?

Often, the fear cloaking our big decisions is “an anxiety toward your dream life,” Marques says.

The tough parts

For years, when Jessica Lapp thought about having a baby, she mostly felt freaked out. The wedding photographer, now 29 years old, would scroll through motherhood accounts on Instagram, where new moms lamented having no time to sleep, exercise or shower.

“Why would you sign up for this?” she recalls thinking.

Still, she could envision having a family with her husband. She began to poke at her fear. Was she focusing on the short-term trials of having a baby and losing sight of the long-term joys of having a child?

Fear can even be helpful, she realised, steeling oneself for the tough parts: the colicky baby, the loneliness of those early months.

“It’s the best decision I ever made,” she told me from her home near Charlottesville, Va., while her 1-year-old, Evelyn, napped.

It’s human to overcomplicate the moments that matter, and that’s OK, says Oded Netzer, a Columbia Business School professor who studies the use of data in decision-making. Research from Netzer and co-authors finds that, when faced with a clear but important choice, we start weighing factors that don’t really matter to us, such as the layout of a potential new office or lunch options at the school your kid would attend if you moved. Doing that makes the decision harder for ourselves, but it matches the gravity of the situation.

Spiralling into our fear, he says, ultimately makes us more confident in our call because we’ve done our due diligence instead of blindly trusting our intuition.

Comfortable, miserable

Not choosing is making a choice, too. Many clients who come to Tega Edwin, a St. Louis-based career counsellor, have stayed in bad jobs for years, terrified they’ll fail or be equally miserable elsewhere. And sure, they might.

Avoiding the unknown, Edwin tells them, guarantees a bad outcome: the job you already know you hate.

“I’m going to be in the exact same circumstance and nothing would change,” Danny Thompson, a software engineer in the Dallas area, says he figured when sizing up whether to try martial arts classes.

After gaining pandemic pounds, he was nervous to don the tight shirts required for jiu jitsu, afraid to be out of breath. Yet he knew there was no way his health would improve if he didn’t go.

“Fifteen seconds in, I was exhausted,” he said of the first lesson. Slowly, he got better. He participated in his first competition this winter, still scared, and placed second in his weight class.

Danger ahead

Sometimes you shouldn’t trudge ahead. Anne Mamaghani, a user-experience consultant in San Jose, Calif., felt torn when a recruiter presented a job opportunity that would have brought her near family in Indiana, exposed her to a new industry and boosted her title. The thought of wresting her two children, ages 10 and 13, from their school and community felt awful, though.

The stakes seemed too high to simply forge on, as she’d done in other situations. After all, it was her family members who would pay the price for a wrong call. After a couple of weeks of considering, she told the recruiter no thanks.

Learning to navigate change can be like building a muscle. When Mark Smith moved to Toronto from Salt Lake City a few years ago with his family, panic hit him on the first day of his new job.

“I just started thinking, what have I done?” he says. It took anti anxiety medication, a visit from friends and several months before he felt confident in his new life. That time abroad did bring him closer to his wife and son, he says, and proved his own resilience.

Smith jumped at the chance when the family had an opportunity to move to Italy last year. This time, he says he felt no fear at all.

“A good life,” he says, “requires a few risks.”

Why furniture from this 100-year-old design firm is still a good investment

If there’s a lesson to be learnt from working from home, it’s that the benefits of the ergonomic chair are real. And we have a man called Bill Stumpf to thank. A key designer with iconic American furniture manufacturer Herman Miller, he joined in the early 1970s tasked with designing furniture for the modern office. 

The chairs Stumpf designed, including the Aeron – the office chair by which all others are now judged – join a long line of exemplar designs from Herman Miller, which celebrates its centenary this year.

Founded in 1923 when DJ De Pree bought the Star Furniture company and renamed it in honour of his father in law, Herman Miller started to hit its stride as a business in the 1940s when De Pree found himself in need of a new design lead. 

The Herman Miller design team, including George Nelson (centre) and Ray and Charles Eames (far right)

In 1945, he hired the up-and-coming designer George Nelson who released the platform bench in 1946. A year later Nelson helped De Pree recruit Charles and Ray Eames following the exhibition of their groundbreaking moulded plywood furniture. 

The Platform Bench, designed by George Nelson for Herman Miller

By the early 1950s, the Eames’ research into new materials like fibreglass culminated in the release of the world’s first moulded fibreglass chairs, the popular shell chair still in demand today.

After the success of his platform bench, Nelson went on to design the Marshmallow lounge, as well as his perennially popular range of lights, including the Bubble, Cigar and Saucer pendants.

George Nelson’s Marshmallow Sofa, released in 1956

Subsequent designs to hit the market included the Eames Hang it All, with its distinctive ball-shaped hooks, and, perhaps the best known of Herman Miller’s chairs, the Eames lounge chair and ottoman, which took its inspiration from a baseball catcher’s mitt. An instant classic, the chair is now in the permanent collection at New York’s Museum of Modern Art. 

Frank Di Giorgio, director at Living Edge, which is the main distributor of Herman Miller furniture in Australia, is the proud owner of an Eames lounge and ottoman, which is on display in the Sydney showroom.

“I bought it in the 70s and it’s one of the most comfortable chairs, although no one’s really allowed to sit in it now because it’s on show,” Di Giorgio says. “It’s a design that gets better with time.”

The Eames lounge and ottoman has an enduring appeal. It is teamed here with George Nelson lights from the Herman Miller range, available from Living Edge

 

As with all their designs, the lounge chair and ottoman was the result of years of research and design by Ray and Charles Eames. This approach to design is part of the company’s DNA. It is perhaps most evident in the ongoing development of their office furniture systems, initially developed by Nelson and Robert Propst, who joined in 1956. The pair worked together to create the Action Office system of freestanding units. Stumpf joined later, initially working under Propst.

Before the advent of Stumpf’s Ergon chair, released in 1976, there was little to no understanding of the idea of comfort in the quickly evolving world of the modern office.

Based on detailed research into the human body, the Ergon (short for ergonomic) became the blueprint by which all other office chairs were measured in terms of comfort as well as efficiency.

Stumpf later went on to design the hugely popular Aeron chair for Herman Miller in 1994, which has been copied or modified so often that its skeletal frame and stretched mesh body have become synonymous with office furniture and fitouts. 

Di Giorgio says the Aeron caused quite a stir when it was released.

“I remember when the Aeron came out and everyone wanted to know where the fabric was because the seat was made only of mesh,” he said. “Now every office chair has a mesh seat. It changed the perception of office chairs.” 

Given the sustained popularity of the Herman Miller range now, it’s hard to fathom that several designs, including the Hang It All, the Marshmallow sofa and Nelson platform bench were discontinued in the 1960s. However, they were among a slew of designs reissued in the 1990s as new audiences fell in love with their minimalist, mid century lines. Sadly, with the surge in popularity have come a tsunami of imposters. Di Giorgio says the replica pieces have little in common with the genuine article.

“It’s easy to create a silhouette without understanding what has gone into the product,” he says. “If people want authentic design, they need to understand the product and the trials and tribulations that go into that piece. 

“The pieces are not right if the materials are not right.” 

He says government legislation in Australia that allows copied designs to be sold as long as they are referred to as ‘replica’ still has a way to go to catch up with other areas of design.

“They don’t let people sell fake Gucci bags but they let (something similar) happen in furniture,” he says. “Even being able to call products by their name with ‘replica’ in front of it is problematic.”

However, he says as the appeal of the Herman Miller range endures, customers are becoming more educated about the design legacy. Indeed, thanks to the growing ‘work from home’ model, demand for a reliable, comfortable office chair is stronger than ever.

“Those new hybrid systems (of working) are not going away and people need to be supported at work and at home,” he says. “Ergonomics is just as important at home, and as we are allowing people to work from home, we need to make sure we support and set them up correctly at home and at work with desk chairs.”

While the upfront cost often puts pieces into the ‘investment’ category, it’s a ‘buy once, buy well’ model that Herman Miller and Living Edge extoll.

“Those chairs have a 12-year warranty because (Herman Miller) stand by their product,” Di Giorgio says. “The sustainability is taken into account as well – they recycle components at Herman Miller. 

“You’re still finding a lot of those chairs around.”

That kind of result speaks for itself. 

How Your Personality Can Affect Your Portfolio

Can certain personality traits explain investors’ risk tolerance and investment decisions?

A forthcoming paper suggests it might. Specifically, the authors found that two personality traits—neuroticism and openness—significantly affect how investors perceive the economy, financial markets and their likelihood to buy stocks or stock funds, with those who are less neurotic and more open tending to have a higher allocation to equities.

While the authors primarily studied investors in the U.S., they also identified similar patterns among investors in Germany, Australia and China.

The Wall Street Journal spoke with two of the paper’s co-authors, Hongjun Yan, a professor of finance at DePaul University’s Driehaus College of Business, and Cameron Peng, an assistant professor of finance at the London School of Economics, about their findings. Zhengyang Jiang, an associate professor of finance at Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management, is the paper’s other co-author.

Here are edited excerpts of the conversation.

WSJ: How can psychology theories help to explain investor behaviour?

YAN: Investors often have very different portfolios. Traditionally, economists focus on risk aversion and market expectations, but in this paper we argue that well-known personality traits—extroversion, agreeableness, openness, conscientiousness and neuroticism—provide a new dimension to explain investors’ choices.

In the Winnie-the-Pooh stories, Tigger is always excited and optimistic while Eeyore is always down and pessimistic. You might expect their investment portfolios to look very different and reflect their overall outlook.

WSJ:How did you study this topic?

PENG: We collaborated with the American Association of Individual Investors, administering a survey to over 3,000 of its members. We collected information on their personality traits, market expectations, and investment decisions. The AAII sample is predominantly wealthy, white, older men. And when they make investment decisions, they are usually quite big, involving hundreds of thousands or even millions of dollars. Their actions can have a real impact on the market.

WSJ:What did you find?

YAN: We found that neuroticism and openness are correlated with investors’ beliefs about the market and their likelihood to buy equities. We were surprised that agreeableness wasn’t important when it comes to investment beliefs or decisions since other researchers have found that agreeableness tends to be correlated with other economic outcomes, like success in negotiating wages.

WSJ: How does neuroticism affect investors’ decisions?

YAN: Someone who is more neurotic has a very different outlook than someone who is not in terms of stock-market expectation. For example, an investor ranking in the middle of the [neurotic] scale might expect an annual stock-market premium of about 6%. But investors at the top of the scale are likely to only expect a 4% stock-market premium, while investors at the bottom of the neuroticism scale are likely to expect an 8% stock-market premium.

PENG: Neuroticism also affected how respondents invested their money in their actual accounts. More neurotic investors were less likely to own equities. Very neurotic investors invested about 56% of their portfolio in equities, while investors who weren’t neurotic invested about 64% of their portfolio in equities.

WSJ:How does openness affect investors’ decisions?

PENG: Investors ranking high for openness were more likely to entertain the possibility of extreme events, like a market crash or a run—really any scenario when the market goes up or down by more than 20%.

Investors who were very open were somewhat more likely to take risks by buying equities. Specifically, investors who were the most open were 3 percentage points more likely to own more equities than investors who weren’t. They had about 62% of their portfolio in equities, while investors who were less open had about 59% of their portfolio in equities.

WSJ: What did you find when you looked at data from other countries?

YAN: We find that neuroticism and openness affect market perceptions and decisions fairly consistently across different data sets. That’s quite remarkable considering the culture and investing environment in each country is very different.

WSJ:What are the study’s implications?

YAN: Personality traits may shape investors’ decisions in ways that many economists have yet to seriously consider. Our research, for instance, also suggests more extroverted and more neurotic investors’ investment choices could be highly influenced by social interactions, or what their friends or colleagues are doing. That insight goes beyond economists’ traditional framework, which focuses on risk tolerance and market expectations, and could help researchers better explain investor behaviour.

PENG: Large asset-management firms or financial planners could spend time getting to know their clients’ personalities and use those insights when they make investment recommendations. Maybe they could encourage investors who tend to be neurotic to be a little less pessimistic.