Why investors are switching from residential property to the commercial market
Cashed up Australians are showing greater enthusiasm for the commercial sector as interest shifts from the home market
2 min
Property investors are losing interest in the booming Western Australia residential market after significant price rises, and some are switching their focus to commercial property to better suit their budgets. These are two of the findings of the Australian Property Investor (API) magazine’s Q2 2024 Property Sentiment Report, which is based on a survey of investors, landlords, and property buyers.
The report revealed other interesting trends, including positive general market sentiment falling below 50 percent of survey respondents for the first time in 12 months; expectations of continuing price rises falling from 84 percent to 70 percent; and the intention to buy dropping significantly because an interest rate cut in the short term is no longer expected. Indeed, earlier this month, Reserve Bank Governor Michele Bullock indicated a rate cut within the next six months is unlikely.
The API report highlighted waning interest in Western Australia, which had the strongest growth in home values in FY24. The median home value rose by 23.6% to $757,399 in Perth and by 16.6% to $514,642 in regional areas, according to CoreLogic data. In Q1, 24 percent of investors rated the mining state as their preferred location for investment. This fell to 16 percent in Q2, which API says is one of the largest changes in sentiment it has ever seen across its quarterly surveys.
Interest in NSW rose by 6 percent to 26 percent in the second quarter. Growth in home values was comparatively moderate in FY24 at 6.3 percent in Sydney and 4.1 percent in the regions. Queensland remains the favourite investment destination among 33 percent of investors, up from 32 percent in Q1. Home values rose by 15.8 percent in Brisbane and 12.2 percent in regional Queensland in FY24.
While residential property remains the most popular type of bricks-and-mortar investment that buyers are considering purchasing over the next year, the survey revealed increased enthusiasm for commercial property. In the second quarter survey, 13 percent of respondents said they wanted to buy a commercial property over the next year, up from 7 percent in the first quarter.
“This near-25 percent decline in just three months is an extension of a downturn that has been taking place since the Q4 2023 survey, when houses were at 45 percent,” according to the API report. “As affordability concerns mount, detached homes are now out of reach for many. The increasingly publicised strong performance of commercial property, particularly industrial assets, along with easier access to this investment vehicle through a proliferation of fund and syndicate offerings, has put commercial firmly on the radar of investors.”
Among those still targeting residential property, interest in standalone houses dropped from 39 percent in the first quarter to 30 percent in the second quarter. Interest in apartments increased slightly from 23 percent to 24 percent, and interest in townhouses and villas was steady at 18 percent.Investors also signalled a renewed interest in building, with 10 percent of respondents now intending to buy vacant land, up from 5 percent last quarter.
This may be a reflection of construction costs easing after years of unprecedented growth. The cost of building a typical home rose by just 0.5 percent over the past 12 months, according to the latest CoreLogic Cordell Construction Cost Index report. This was the slowest growth in 22 years. “The growth in costs has finally returned within normal margins, however the price of construction is not falling and building or renovating remains almost 30% more expensive now than pre-COVID after an extended period of escalating costs,” said CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless.
Australian shares fell on Thursday as Wall Street weakness, rising oil and persistent rate concerns weighed on most of the market. The S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.72 per cent to 8,702. The All Ordinaries lost 0.66 per cent to finish at 8,897. Mining stocks were hit particularly hard, while real estate also dragged on the index. …
Continue reading “ASX falls 0.7 per cent as miners and property stocks retreat”
Borrowers cannot control the Reserve Bank, but they can control how exposed their household budget is to its next decision. The RBA meets on 29 September with inflation concerns still elevated and major-bank economists increasingly bringing forward their rate-rise calls. Fixed mortgage rates have also been moving, reducing the value of waiting for perfect certainty. …
Continue reading “What mortgage holders should do before the next RBA decision”
A five-bedroom Palo Alto home designed by Steven Ehrlich is listed for $44 million, making it the city’s most expensive listing. Built around a dramatic concrete spine, the home features four courtyards and a pool.
3 min
For years, tech entrepreneur Asher Waldfogel and his wife, Helyn MacLean, dreamed of building a modern house in Palo Alto, Calif.
The couple, however, worried about clashing with the Mediterranean-style architecture typically associated with their neighborhood of Old Palo Alto.
So they tapped architect Steven Ehrlich to create a design that paid homage to its surroundings with stucco, mahogany and titanium zinc cladding. They spent $20 million over several years building the house, completed in 2005.
Now looking to be closer to their adult daughter on the East Coast, they are putting the five-bedroom home on the market for $44 million—the most expensive listing in Palo Alto.
Waldfogel is an angel investor who co-founded Redback Networks, a telecommunications-equipment company. MacLean previously had a career in fundraising.
The couple purchased the roughly 0.4-acre site for $7.1 million in 2000 and demolished a circa-1930s Spanish Colonial home. The house they built pinwheels around a central staircase. It has 7,900 square feet of livable space, with four distinct courtyards and a pool.
A key feature of the home is a cast-in-place concrete wall, or spine, that is two stories high and about 80 feet long. “There’s a little bit of controlled chaos in what comes out of the form,” unlike a perfectly uniform surface, Waldfogel said. “If you want that, you do it in plastic.”
Waldfogel said he and his wife are thinking about the next phase of life now that their daughter is grown, although they have not decided where they will move. They also have a home in Sun Valley, Idaho.
“Right now we’re just trying to emotionally let go and decide what to do next,” he said.
Palo Alto, an epicenter of venture capital and tech startups in Silicon Valley, is home to some of the country’s biggest tech titans. Sales volume and prices are rising, with a median sale price of $3.5 million for the three months ending in August, up 5.8% year-over-year, according to real-estate brokerage Redfin.
Arthur Sharif of Sotheby’s International Realty—San Francisco Brokerage has the listing.
A haven for hedge-fund titans and Hollywood grandees, Greenwich is one of the world’s most expensive residential enclaves, where eye-watering prices meet unapologetic grandeur.
On October 2, acclaimed chef Dan Arnold will host an exclusive evening, unveiling a Michelin-inspired menu in a rare masterclass of food, storytelling and flavour.
