Steam comes out of the market as Australian property values cool
Stubborn inflation and just-out-of-reach interest rate cuts are the likely reasons for the softer end to the year, new data has revealed
2 min
Australian capitals experienced their smallest rise in home values since January 2023, new data from CoreLogic has revealed.
The property data provider’s Home Value Index showed values rose by 0.1 percent over spring after 22 months of consecutive rises. CoreLogic predicted this could be close to the last rise in this cycle, with both the Sydney and Melbourne markets showing signs of cooling.
“The downturn is gathering momentum in Melbourne and Sydney,” said Tim Lawless, CoreLogic’s research director.“While the mid-sized capitals, which have dominated the growth cycle of late, are also losing steam.”
The trend was most obvious in Melbourne, with housing values recording drops in 10 of the past 12 months. Melbourne values fell by -1.0 percent in November, while Sydney experienced a fall of -0.5 percent. The report indicated that Sydney values had most likely peaked in August this year.
Some of the smaller capitals were also showing signs of a weakening in values, with Darwin down -0.7 percent and Canberra recording a drop of -0.3 percent.
“The mid-sized capitals and most of the regional ‘rest of state’ markets continue to provide some support for growth in the national index, but it is clear momentum is also leaving these markets,” added Mr Lawless.
However, it was a different story on the other side of the country, with Perth home values experiencing further growth. CoreLogic data showed values in the Western Australian capital up 1.1 percent over the month and 3.0 percent over the quarter. While the increases in values were the strongest amongst the capitals, CoreLogic noted that they were less than half that recorded in the June quarter, where they were at a robust 6.7 percent.
Mr Lawless pointed to a lack of movement in core inflation, as well as the diminishing likelihood of an interest rate cut early next year as factors in the subdued capital gains. Leading Australian economists are predicting a cut somewhere between February and May 2025.
“A lower cash rate will be a positive factor for housing markets,” Mr Lawless said. “Lower mortgage rates will provide a lift to borrowing capacity, and, along with lower inflation, should see an improvement in serviceability assessments and see a further rise in consumer sentiment.”
“A couple of rate cuts might be enough to shore up a declining trend in home values, but it is hard to see any material upward pressure returning until interest rates reduce more substantially and affordability barriers are less formidable.”
International AI strategist Justin Kabbani will headline the Kanebridge Property Summit in Sydney on June 18, with tickets selling fast.
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International AI strategist Justin Kabbani will headline the Kanebridge Property Summit in Sydney on June 18, with tickets selling fast.
2 minArtificial intelligence is rapidly reshaping business, investment and competitive advantage, and now Australia’s property industry is being told it cannot afford to sit on the sidelines.
International keynote speaker and AI strategist Justin Kabbani will headline the Kanebridge Property Summit at RACA Sydney on June 18, bringing rare insight into how forward-thinking property professionals can use AI to move faster, make smarter decisions and gain a serious edge in an increasingly competitive market.
Tickets to the exclusive summit are already selling fast.
Having worked with global brands including Uber, PepsiCo, Mattel and Destination NSW, Kabbani has become one of the leading voices on how businesses can turn AI from a buzzword into a genuine commercial advantage.
Known for his high-energy and highly practical presentations, Kabbani cuts through the hype surrounding AI and focuses on what actually matters: productivity, growth, leadership and real-world business results.
His keynote will explore how AI is already transforming industries globally, and what property developers, investors, agents and business leaders need to understand now to avoid being left behind.
Importantly, the session is designed to be practical, not theoretical.
Attendees will hear how AI can be applied across marketing, sales, operations and decision-making to improve efficiency, sharpen strategy and create new competitive advantages in a rapidly changing business environment.
The summit will also feature an exclusive roundtable bringing together leading property and finance experts for a candid, off-the-record Q&A exploring the forces shaping investment, development and wealth creation across Australia’s prestige property market.
The event follows the success of last year’s sold-out summit and will once again be hosted by respected MC John Alten.
With AI becoming one of the biggest disruptors facing business, the June 18 summit is expected to attract strong interest from property professionals, investors and business leaders looking to stay ahead of the curve.
The followings are included in every ticket:
- Full access to keynote sessions and the interactive roundtable.
- Premium selection of canapés and beverages throughout the evening.
- Complimentary annual digital subscription to two leading publications (Wall Street Journal and Kanebridge Quarterly), providing essential coverage of local and global markets, property trends and investment strategy.
Tickets are limited and selling quickly and you can buy here.
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