Buy now, pay later: The busiest year in Australian property was also the riskiest
Since the surge in buyer activity, average monthly mortgage payments have increased almost 50 percent, new data has shown
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Investment in property might be seen as a long term prospect but the latest figures from CoreLogic suggest not everyone is in it for the long haul. Property sales hit a peak in 2021, with an estimated 549,000 homes sold that year, new data has shown. That means that year, 5.3 percent of all property was bought.
The Australian property data service also revealed a whopping 20 percent of residences were purchased in the past five years. Brisbane had the highest rate of stock turnover in the past five years at 24.6 percent.
The CoreLogic report by head of research Eliza Owen noted that the upswing in buying in 2021 was at one of the riskiest times in the market in recent years, with super sized mortgages to match.
“One could argue then that the many Australians who purchased in 2021 were incentivised into the market at a higher-risk time,” Ms Owen said in the Pulse report. “Average loan sizes reported by the ABS escalated quickly (up almost 18pc over the year), and buying close to the market peak means there may be higher risk of low capital returns or value loss in the face of higher debt costs.”
However, the report said home values had increased by 7.6 percent since the end of 2021. Those who waited a year and purchased during the brief market dip in 2022 fared better, experiencing almost double the capital growth returns. Those who bought since then have been slugged with consecutive interest rate rises as the cash rate increased 13 times over 15 months from 0.1 percent in April 2022, stabilising at 4.35 percent since November 2023.
While Roy Morgan research in April revealed that 30.8 percent or 1,560,000 mortgage holders are at risk of mortgage stress, most are weathering the storm.
“It is likely most recent home buyers are coping with the stark change in mortgage rates and economic conditions,” Ms Owen said in the report.
“In the March Financial Stability Review, the RBA reported around 1 percent of home loans were in negative equity, and APRA reported just 1.6 percent of housing loans had mortgage repayments that were past due.
“Loan to valuation ratios for new mortgages generally trended lower through 2021, and over 90 percent of borrowers had at least a 10 percent deposit for new loans secured that year, providing a buffer against falling home values.”
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Mirvac’s 45-level Trielle has topped out at Yarra’s Edge, pairing riverfront apartments with wellness facilities, private dining and resident services.
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Mirvac has topped out Trielle at Melbourne’s Yarra’s Edge, with more than 70 per cent of the riverfront development sold and approximately 80 per cent of purchasers intending to make their apartment a home.
The figures, released on September 22, point to an owner-occupier audience for one of the precinct’s final residential towers. Mirvac began developing Yarra’s Edge in 2003, and its latest addition occupies one of the remaining absolute riverfront sites.
Mirvac CEO of Development Stuart Penklis said existing residents were among those moving up within the neighbourhood.
“Many purchasers already have a connection to Yarra’s Edge,” Mr Penklis said, describing buyers whose changing needs were encouraging an upgrade within the precinct.
“As one of the final residential towers within Yarra’s Edge, Trielle represents the culmination of more than two decades of creating one of Melbourne’s most established and sought-after waterfront communities,” Penklis said.
“Positioned on the Collins Street axis with absolute river frontage, Trielle offers residents a rare opportunity to enjoy sweeping views across the Yarra River, Melbourne skyline and Port Phillip Bay, while remaining seamlessly connected to the CBD. With Trielle now more than 70 per cent sold, we’re continuing to see strong demand from buyers seeking quality homes in established locations.”
The developer also flagged a penthouse and sub-penthouse collection with larger layouts, premium finishes and broad outlooks. The planned wellness centrepiece, The Oasis, encompasses a 900-square-metre elevated urban rainforest.
Mirvac General Manager Residential Development Victoria Elysa Anderson said Trielle had resonated strongly with buyers seeking a rare lifestyle offering in Melbourne.
“Opportunities to secure a new luxury residence on a riverfront site of this calibre are incredibly rare, particularly within a community like Yarra’s Edge,” Anderson said.
“What makes Trielle unique is the combination of exceptional views, world-class residential facilities and the lifestyle that already exists around it. Residents are buying into a mature waterfront community with parks, promenades, dining, wellness and strong community connections already in place.”
The 45-level tower brings a substantial new presence to that waterfront. Its residential offering spans one-, two-, three- and four-bedroom apartments, with Signature, Prestige and Sub-Penthouse collections accommodating different household sizes. The north-facing position connects the apartments visually to the river and city beyond.
Seven storeys above the promenade, the planned Oasis combines planting and a running stream with a Scandinavian-inspired wellness club developed with spa specialist Naomi Gregory. Facilities include a 25-metre lap pool, hot magnesium pool, sauna, hydrotherapy, a gym, yoga and Pilates room, and treatment spaces.
The amenity extends beyond exercise. Residents will have access to The Biblioteca library and workspaces, ground-floor work pods, and The Salone piano lounge. A private Chef’s Table dining room offers a setting for larger gatherings, while a cinema, games room and sports lounge broaden the entertaining options. Concierge services and a dog-wash area support everyday routines.
Trielle comprises a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences. Reflecting strong demand from owner occupiers, approximately 80 per cent of purchasers to date intend to live in their homes, highlighting the project’s appeal to those seeking a long-term waterfront lifestyle.
Mirvac has recently delivered The Albertine, a premium apartment development on the edge of Melbourne’s CBD, and is nearing completion of Prince & Parade in Brunswick, further strengthening its portfolio of thoughtfully designed apartment communities in some of Melbourne’s most sought-after urban locations.
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