A variable Australian property market holds firm in 2024 as west coast investors cash in
The old adage ‘as safe as houses’ still holds true for Australian property owners
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If there is one word to describe the Australian property market this year, it’s resilience.
That’s according to data released by CoreLogic today as part of its Best of the Best report.
Despite the cash rate remaining unmoved at 4.35 percent in 2024, home sales went up by 8 percent compared with last year and increased 6 percent on the previous five-year average. In signs that property continues to be a sound choice for investors, home values have risen 5.5 percent over the past 12 months, with the overall value of Australian homes now in excess of $11 trillion.
Head of research at CoreLogic, Eliza Owen, noted that there was significant ‘variability’ across markets, with Melbourne recording a fall of -2.3 percent in annual values while Perth saw home values rise by 21 percent over the same period. It was a similar story in regional areas, with regional Victoria experiencing falls of -2.7 percent and regional Western Australia witnessing a 15.5 percent increase.
Indeed, the Geraldton suburb of Beachlands in WA took out the top spot for the greatest increase in house values nationally, with a rise of 38.4 percent. In the unit market, Dolphins Heads in the Mackay region of Queensland experienced the most growth this year, with an increase in values of 52.8 percent. In capital city markets, Perth took out all 10 spots for strongest growth in house values.
While the greatest gains in terms of percentages were in the bottom quarter of the market, the greatest results were at the luxury end, with Sydney’s Mosman holding its position with the highest total value of house sales over the past 12 months at $1.652 billion.
While it has been a good year for those already in the market, there are indicators that conditions in 2025 could soften, with the final quarter of 2024 recording less robust results.
“The market’s initial strength in 2024 gradually waned due to declining demand, rising levels of advertised supply, and a shifting outlook for inflation and interest rates,” Ms Owen said.
However, she said an anticipated interest rate cut in the first half of 2025 and the possibility of wages growth next year made further increases in property values hard to predict.
“While market conditions are broadly expected to improve off the back of a cash rate
reduction in 2025, there will still be considerable diversity in housing market performance,” she said.
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Buyer demand, seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme are setting up a frantic spring, with activity likely to run through Christmas.
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The spring property market is shaping up as the most active in recent memory, according to property experts Two Red Shoes.
Mortgage brokers Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton and Brett Sutton point to a potent mix of pent-up buyer demand, robust seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme as catalysts for a sustained run.
“We’re seeing an unprecedented level of activity, with high auction numbers already a clear indicator of the market’s trajectory,” said Sutton. “Last week, Sydney saw its second-highest number of auctions for the year. This kind of volume, even before the new First Home Guarantee Scheme (FHGS) changes take effect, signals a powerful market run.”
Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton added a note of caution. “While inquiries are at an all-time high, the big question is whether we will have enough stock to meet this demand. The market is incredibly hot, and this could lead to a highly competitive environment for buyers, with many homes selling for hundreds of thousands above their reserve.”
“With listings not keeping pace with buyer demand, buyers are needing to compromise faster and bid harder.”
Two Red Shoes identifies several spring trends. The First Home Guarantee Scheme is expected to unlock a wave of first-time buyers by enabling eligible purchasers to enter with deposits as low as 5 per cent. The firm notes this supports entry and reduces rent leakage, but it is a demand-side fix that risks pushing prices higher around the relevant caps.
Buyer behaviour is shifting toward flexibility. With competition intense, purchasers are prioritising what they can afford over ideal suburb or land size. Two Red Shoes expects the common first-home target price to rise to between $1 and $1.2 million over the next six months.
Affordable corridors are drawing attention. The team highlights Hawkesbury, Claremont Meadows and growth areas such as Austral, with Glenbrook in the Lower Blue Mountains posting standout results. Preliminary Sydney auction clearance rates are holding above 70 per cent despite increased listings, underscoring the depth of demand.
The heat is not without friction. Reports of gazumping have risen, including instances where contract statements were withheld while agents continued to receive offers, reflecting the pressure on buyers in fast-moving campaigns.
Rates are steady, yet some banks are quietly trimming variable and fixed products. Many borrowers are maintaining higher repayments to accelerate principal reduction. “We’re also seeing a strong trend in rent-vesting, where owner-occupiers are investing in a property with the eventual goal of moving into it,” said Jarrett-Dalton.
“This is a smart strategy for safeguarding one’s future in this competitive market, where all signs point to an exceptionally busy and action-packed season.”
Two Red Shoes expects momentum to carry through the holiday period and into the new year, with competition remaining elevated while stock lags demand.
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