Australian property buyers the winners in a spring market
A new report has revealed properties are taking longer to sell with more stock coming onto the market
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Australian property buyers have been the big winners this spring, according to new data released this week, with more stock available and a drop in sales volumes.
CoreLogic’s Housing Chart Pack for December showed sales were down 4 percent on the historic average while total listings volumes nationally increased 10.6 percent during spring.
Homes also took longer to sell through spring. The national median number of days on market in the three months to November was 32 days, up from 27 days for the same period last year.
CoreLogic economist Kaytin Ezzy said the trends combined to create a more favourable market for buyers rather than sellers.
“Between higher stock levels and lower-than-usual sales volumes, the data for the end of November shows that buyers were the winners this spring (just), and sellers generally saw softer market conditions over the past few months,” she said. “The increase in selling times has coincided with higher stock levels, and softer sales volumes year-on-year.
“The median time on market increased by four days year-on-year across both the combined capital cities and regional market.”
The best performing areas for home value growth continued to be in the 25 percent most affordable markets of Adelaide, up 4.7 percent, Perth (4.5 percent) and Brisbane. At the other end, the top quarter of homes in Darwin (-2.7 percent), Melbourne (-1.4 percent) and Sydney (-1.6 percent) saw the greatest falls over the same period.
In good news for renters — and less welcome for existing investors — the report found rental growth also slowed this year. Rents increased by 5.3 percent over the year to November, the slowest increase since April 2021. At the same time, the RBA reported the average household size has risen across Australia’s capital cities, suggesting more renters are moving into shared housing to offset cost of living concerns.
“The gradual slowdown in net overseas migration could also be contributing to the stabilising in rent values, and as the backlog of Homebuilder work moves into completion, this could also take some demand out of the rental market,” Ms Ezzy said.
“Rental growth may rebound a little through the seasonally strong first quarter of 2025, but beyond any seasonality, it looks increasingly like the rental boom is over.”
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Buyer demand, seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme are setting up a frantic spring, with activity likely to run through Christmas.
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The spring property market is shaping up as the most active in recent memory, according to property experts Two Red Shoes.
Mortgage brokers Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton and Brett Sutton point to a potent mix of pent-up buyer demand, robust seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme as catalysts for a sustained run.
“We’re seeing an unprecedented level of activity, with high auction numbers already a clear indicator of the market’s trajectory,” said Sutton. “Last week, Sydney saw its second-highest number of auctions for the year. This kind of volume, even before the new First Home Guarantee Scheme (FHGS) changes take effect, signals a powerful market run.”
Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton added a note of caution. “While inquiries are at an all-time high, the big question is whether we will have enough stock to meet this demand. The market is incredibly hot, and this could lead to a highly competitive environment for buyers, with many homes selling for hundreds of thousands above their reserve.”
“With listings not keeping pace with buyer demand, buyers are needing to compromise faster and bid harder.”
Two Red Shoes identifies several spring trends. The First Home Guarantee Scheme is expected to unlock a wave of first-time buyers by enabling eligible purchasers to enter with deposits as low as 5 per cent. The firm notes this supports entry and reduces rent leakage, but it is a demand-side fix that risks pushing prices higher around the relevant caps.
Buyer behaviour is shifting toward flexibility. With competition intense, purchasers are prioritising what they can afford over ideal suburb or land size. Two Red Shoes expects the common first-home target price to rise to between $1 and $1.2 million over the next six months.
Affordable corridors are drawing attention. The team highlights Hawkesbury, Claremont Meadows and growth areas such as Austral, with Glenbrook in the Lower Blue Mountains posting standout results. Preliminary Sydney auction clearance rates are holding above 70 per cent despite increased listings, underscoring the depth of demand.
The heat is not without friction. Reports of gazumping have risen, including instances where contract statements were withheld while agents continued to receive offers, reflecting the pressure on buyers in fast-moving campaigns.
Rates are steady, yet some banks are quietly trimming variable and fixed products. Many borrowers are maintaining higher repayments to accelerate principal reduction. “We’re also seeing a strong trend in rent-vesting, where owner-occupiers are investing in a property with the eventual goal of moving into it,” said Jarrett-Dalton.
“This is a smart strategy for safeguarding one’s future in this competitive market, where all signs point to an exceptionally busy and action-packed season.”
Two Red Shoes expects momentum to carry through the holiday period and into the new year, with competition remaining elevated while stock lags demand.
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