More Australian suburbs join the million dollar median club as housing affordability slips further
One capital city has experienced exponential price growth since the start of the pandemic — and it’s not where you think
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Almost one third of all Australian suburbs now have a median house or unit value at or above $1 million, new data has shown.
The latest CoreLogic Million-Dollar Markets report released today revealed 29.3 percent of the 4,772 suburbs analysed were members of the million-dollar club. The previous record was 26.9 percent in April 2022. CoreLogic economist Kaytlin Ezzy said the results are in stark contrast to median values in early 2020.
“At the onset of COVID, just 14.3 percent of house and unit markets had a median value at or above the $1 million mark,” she said. “With almost 30 percent of suburbs now posting a seven-figure median, the increase is a natural consequence of rising values and worsening affordability.”
Unsurprisingly, Sydney topped the table as Australia’s most expensive capital with a median of $1,180,463 and adding 46 net suburbs to the list. Sydney now has 448 house and 107 unit markets with a current median value of $1 million or greater.
However, growth in the smaller capitals has also been significant. CoreLogic data showed dwelling values in Brisbane have risen by 15 percent over the past year with a net increase of 46 million-dollar markets, tying with Sydney.
“The positive flow of interstate migration, coupled with a continued undersupply of advertised listings as well as newly built housing stock, has seen Brisbane values rise 65.1 percent since the onset of COVID,” Ms Ezzy said.
“Such a significant increase in home values has eroded much of the city’s previous affordability advantage, with Brisbane now having the second highest median dwelling value ($875,040) among the capitals.”
The results shine a light on housing affordability concerns, with the report noting that homeowners with a $800,000 mortgage and repayments based on current interest rates would need to be earning close to $200,000 in order to keep repayments under 30 percent of their income. Ms Ezzy said prior to the first interest rate hike, the minimum salary required for homeowners to avoid mortgage stress was about $125,000.
“Despite the increase in the number of million-dollar markets, borrowers are dedicating more of their income towards servicing their mortgage,” she said.
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Buyer demand, seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme are setting up a frantic spring, with activity likely to run through Christmas.
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The spring property market is shaping up as the most active in recent memory, according to property experts Two Red Shoes.
Mortgage brokers Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton and Brett Sutton point to a potent mix of pent-up buyer demand, robust seller confidence and the First Home Guarantee Scheme as catalysts for a sustained run.
“We’re seeing an unprecedented level of activity, with high auction numbers already a clear indicator of the market’s trajectory,” said Sutton. “Last week, Sydney saw its second-highest number of auctions for the year. This kind of volume, even before the new First Home Guarantee Scheme (FHGS) changes take effect, signals a powerful market run.”
Rebecca Jarrett-Dalton added a note of caution. “While inquiries are at an all-time high, the big question is whether we will have enough stock to meet this demand. The market is incredibly hot, and this could lead to a highly competitive environment for buyers, with many homes selling for hundreds of thousands above their reserve.”
“With listings not keeping pace with buyer demand, buyers are needing to compromise faster and bid harder.”
Two Red Shoes identifies several spring trends. The First Home Guarantee Scheme is expected to unlock a wave of first-time buyers by enabling eligible purchasers to enter with deposits as low as 5 per cent. The firm notes this supports entry and reduces rent leakage, but it is a demand-side fix that risks pushing prices higher around the relevant caps.
Buyer behaviour is shifting toward flexibility. With competition intense, purchasers are prioritising what they can afford over ideal suburb or land size. Two Red Shoes expects the common first-home target price to rise to between $1 and $1.2 million over the next six months.
Affordable corridors are drawing attention. The team highlights Hawkesbury, Claremont Meadows and growth areas such as Austral, with Glenbrook in the Lower Blue Mountains posting standout results. Preliminary Sydney auction clearance rates are holding above 70 per cent despite increased listings, underscoring the depth of demand.
The heat is not without friction. Reports of gazumping have risen, including instances where contract statements were withheld while agents continued to receive offers, reflecting the pressure on buyers in fast-moving campaigns.
Rates are steady, yet some banks are quietly trimming variable and fixed products. Many borrowers are maintaining higher repayments to accelerate principal reduction. “We’re also seeing a strong trend in rent-vesting, where owner-occupiers are investing in a property with the eventual goal of moving into it,” said Jarrett-Dalton.
“This is a smart strategy for safeguarding one’s future in this competitive market, where all signs point to an exceptionally busy and action-packed season.”
Two Red Shoes expects momentum to carry through the holiday period and into the new year, with competition remaining elevated while stock lags demand.
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