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Will a cap on international students make housing more affordable?

The Federal Government is proposing a cap of 270,000 students in 2025

By Bronwyn Allen
Thu, Sep 5, 2024 11:04amGrey Clock 2 min

The Federal Government is proposing a cap on international students in 2025, with legislation recently put forth to limit enrolments to 270,000. This would comprise 145,000 university students and 95,000 vocational education training (VET) placements. Many people in the tertiary education sector argue that this is an immigration policy designed to curb new arrivals amid a housing crisis.

The Federal Government has been criticised for a record surge in immigration following the pandemic, which has placed additional pressure on the rental market. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, 737,000 migrants arrived in Australia in FY23, up from 427,000 in FY22. Among them were 554,000 people on temporary visas, 283,000 of which were international students.

REA economist Anne Flaherty said the post-pandemic surge in overseas students in 2023 and 2024 coincided with building sector constraints that exacerbated the housing undersupply and contributed to rapidly rising rents and record-low vacancy rates over the past two years.

“There is no question that high levels of migration have been a key driver of the rental crisis,” Ms Flaherty said. “Rent growth from surging student numbers can be seen in “student suburbs”. Examples include Clayton, home to Australia’s largest university Monash, which saw unit rents up 20% over the 12 months ending July, and Glebe, near the University of Sydney which saw rents up 17%.”

Ms Flaherty said the new cap in 2025 would have little immediate impact on the market, given the students here now will stay for several more years while they complete their studies.

The Federal Government wants universities to provide more purpose-built student accommodation (PBSA) to free up homes in the strained private rental market. CBRE estimates that only 6 percent of students currently have the opportunity to live on-campus or in PBSA close to their universities.

In a new report on student accommodation, CBRE estimates there are 223,000 overseas students in Sydney and 334,000 in Melbourne. It estimates an unmet demand for 25,000 PBSA beds in the University of Sydney and UTS catchment alone and 15,000 beds in the University of Melbourne and RMIT catchment.

The Student Accommodation Council says there are 7,700 new PBSA beds in the pipeline for 2026 but 84,000 are needed. The council’s executive director, Torie Brown, said governments need to incentivise foreign investors to build more student housing. “Ridiculously high state taxes on international investors who build PBSA continue to be a handbrake on new development,” she said. “International students have been unfairly blamed for the rental crisis … There are more domestic students in rental homes than international – yet no one is suggesting we ban share-houses for local university students.”



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Trump Says He Would Ban Mortgages for Undocumented Immigrants

The Republican nominee says it would help bring down home prices, though these buyers account for a fraction of U.S. home sales

By WILL PARKER
Fri, Sep 6, 2024 3 min

Former President Donald Trump said he would ban undocumented immigrants from obtaining home mortgages, a move he indicated would help ease home prices even though these buyers account for a tiny fraction of U.S. home sales.

Home loans to undocumented people living in the U.S. are legal but they aren’t especially common. Between 5,000 and 6,000 mortgages of this kind were issued last year, according to estimates from researchers at the Urban Institute in Washington.

Overall, lenders issued more than 3.4 million mortgages to all home purchasers in 2023, federal government data show.

Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, made his comments Thursday during a policy speech to the Economic Club of New York in Manhattan.

Housing remains a top economic issue for voters during this presidential election. Rent and home prices grew at historic rates during the pandemic and mortgage rates climbed to levels not seen in more than two decades. A July Wall Street Journal poll showed that voters rank housing as their second-biggest inflation concern after groceries.

Both major candidates for the 2024 presidential election have made appeals to voters on housing during recent campaign stops, though the issue has so far featured more prominently in Vice President Kamala Harris ’s campaign.

Trump has blamed immigrants for many of the nation’s woes, including crime and unemployment. Now, he is pointing to immigrants as a cause of the nation’s housing-affordability crisis. Yet some affordable-housing advocates and real-estate professionals said Trump’s mortgage proposal would fail to bring relief to priced-out home buyers.

“It’s unfortunate that given the significant housing affordability crisis that is widely acknowledged across most partisan lines, we are arguing about a minuscule segment of the market,” said David Dworkin, president of the National Housing Conference, an affordable-housing advocacy group.

Gary Acosta, chief executive of the National Association of Hispanic Real Estate Professionals, a trade organization, said, “It’s just another effort to vilify immigrants and to continue to scapegoat them for any issues that we have here in the United States.”

A Trump campaign spokeswoman didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Undocumented immigrants in the U.S. can obtain an obscure type of mortgage designed for taxpayers without Social Security numbers, most of whom are Hispanic. The passage of the USA Patriot Act of 2001 allowed banks to use identification numbers from the Internal Revenue Service as an alternative to Social Security, extending a number of financial services to people without legal status for the first time.

Mortgage loans for undocumented immigrants are typically higher interest and borrowers include legal residents who have undocumented spouses, Acosta said. Lenders include regional credit unions and community-development financial institutions.

In his speech, Trump said that “the flood” of undocumented immigrants is driving up housing costs. “That’s why my plan will ban mortgages for illegal aliens,” he said.

Trump didn’t elaborate on how he would enact a ban on such loans.

Though mortgages for undocumented people living in the U.S. are relatively rare, residential real-estate purchases by foreign nationals are big business , especially in expensive coastal cities such as New York and Los Angeles. These sales have declined in recent years, however.

Close to half of foreign purchases are made by people residing abroad, while the other half are made by recent immigrants or residents on nonimmigrant visas, according to an annual survey by the National Association of Realtors. Many affluent foreigners buy U.S. homes with cash instead of obtaining mortgage financing.

In his Thursday speech, which focused mostly on other economic matters such as energy and taxation, Trump proposed other measures to bring down housing costs, including cutting regulations for builders and allowing more building on federal land. Similar ideas appeared in the housing policy outline Harris released in August .

The former president has spoken on housing-related issues in speeches at other recent campaign stops, including in Michigan last month, where he touted his administration’s 2020 overturn of a policy that had encouraged cities to reduce racial segregation .

“I keep the suburbs safe,” Trump said. “I stopped low-income towers from rising right alongside of their house. And I’m keeping the illegal aliens away from the suburbs.”

MOST POPULAR
11 ACRES ROAD, KELLYVILLE, NSW

This stylish family home combines a classic palette and finishes with a flexible floorplan

35 North Street Windsor

Just 55 minutes from Sydney, make this your creative getaway located in the majestic Hawkesbury region.

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